Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 8/7/2018
by Brad Johnson
August 7, 2018
Here’s today’s chat transcript. We talked a number of topics including my repeated assertion that Juan Soto is not a first round pick next season. See you next week.
| 3:05 |
: Good afternoon folks. We’ll get things started in a minute.
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| 3:06 |
: How am I supposed to trust BABIP with the shift? If a player like, Carlos Santana has a career low BABIP in 2018, do I chalk it up to bad luck or is it the result of shifting? How would I know?
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| 3:07 |
: It sounds like you’re oversimplifying your concept of BABIP.
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| 3:08 |
: The shift isn’t the only factor to consider. Santana is hitting more fly balls and infield flies with fewer line drives. All are significant changes that lead to a lower expected BABIP
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| 3:08 |
: Even before looking at shifts, I would expect a career low BABIP with these numbers.
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| 3:08 |
: Will his batted ball profile regress in a positive way? Perhaps.
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