12/23/24

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Walker Buehler to the Red Sox
• Sean Manaea back to the Mets
• Nathaniel Lowe traded to Washington for Robert Garcia
• Joc Pederson to Texas
• Eloy Jiménez to Tampa Bay
• Andrew McCutchen to Pittsburgh

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As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 36 minutes of joyous analysis.

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12/20/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• TB eyeing Shane McClanahan for 150 IP
• Nolan Arenado says no to Houston

PAUL’S SP RANKINGS:

• Framber Valdez – 27
• Aaron Nola – 28
• Hunter Greene – 39

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12/17/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PAUL’S SP RANKINGS:

• Jacob deGrom – 5
• Corbin Burnes – 8
• All the Dodgers at 10-13

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12/13/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Juan Soto to NYM
• Willy Adames to SFG
• Blake Snell to LAD
• Max Fried to NYY
• Garrett Crochet to BOS

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11/25/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Yusei Kikuchi signs w/LAA for some reason
• Brady Singer to CIN; Jonathan India, Joey Wiemer to KCR
• Jordan Romano non-tendered
• Nolan Arenado being dangled in trade talks

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11/21/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Roki Saski coming over
• Baltimore moves LF fence back in so Cole Irvin peaced out to KBO
• Outlook for: Grayson Rodriguez, Zach Eflin, Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg, Adley Rutschman
• Nick Martinez to accept QO

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Believe it or not there are already 2025 drafts going on over the NFBC! I have resisted the urge to participate in any just yet, but that doesn’t mean I haven’t been dialed into the early average draft position (ADP) data – make sure to change the dates to 10/01/24 through the current date as it defaults the 2024 data. I was particularly curious what kind of price hikes we’d see on some of the biggest breakout pitchers from the season so I went over to our Player Rater to find my pitchers of interest.

I landed on a group of 6 who were all drafted outside pick-200 while finishing as Top 30 starters. Since it is Draft Champions season (50-round Draft & Hold format), I’m comparing this early ADP to their DC ADP from March 20th-27th which consisted of 21 drafts.

Here’s where they are going through 5 DC drafts and what I think about their chances of a repeat:

Paul Skenes, PIT | 2024 ADP: 283 | 2025 ADP: 11

No surprises here as the 2023 #1 overall pick took the league by storm in mid-May and never looked back. In fact, some boards have him as the #1 starter ahead of Tarik Skubal. He has peaked as high as #5 overall and I believe he will go #1 overall in at least one Main Event next spring, barring any sort of news that would create extra injury concerns. He is undoubtedly the best pitcher on this list and thus there isn’t much else to say. I know some will need more than 133 IP to him this high and while I acknowledge nothing is certain and he could suffer a sophomore slump, there is simply nothing in his profile to suggest there is a high or even moderate likelihood of that. You might get him on the turn or just after as he has a max pick of 18, but if you really want Skenes next year, I suggest a mid-to-late 1st round focus for your KDS.

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10/21/24

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2024 FALLERS (leaderboard for the whole group)

TEX with 4 of the top 11 biggest drop offs

• Jonah Heim -35 pts of wRC+ to 70
• Adolis García -34 to 92
• Corey Seager -31 to 140
• Marcus Semien -27 to 99

ATL had 4, too!

• Matt Olson -44 to 117
• Ozzie Albies -29 to 95
• Orlando Arcia -28 to 72
• Jarred Kelenic -23 to 86

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• Check out the August SP Rankings (outdated)

Final weekend, good luck everyone! Let me know if you have any questions in the comments.

For Detroit it was Brant Hurter/Tarik Skubal listed as probables, but then Hurter pitched on Friday night and them clinching moves Skubal to game 1 of the Wildcard (that feels amazing to type out). So I think they’ll just piece it together with guys like Keider Montero, Jackson Jobe, Ty Madden, and Kenta Maeda getting multi-inning looks.

Trying to make updates as I see ’em but I’m not going to remake the table so for example Beck replacing Snell will remain atop the list but be 0-x, of course.

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9/27/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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2H RISERS

• Gavin Lux +88 to 148
• Jeff McNeil +86 to 156
• Nick Fortes +83 to 109
• Jake Burger +73 to 145
• Andrew Benintendi’s +72 to 132

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