I love identifying early starting pitcher velocity surgers, as increases in velocity, if maintained, often lead to breakouts, or at the very least, strikeout rate surges. But do these early season velocity increases last? Let’s review the increasers I discussed at the beginning of the season to find out how they performed over the rest of the season. I’ll start with an Apr 4 post discussing seven pitchers.

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On Sunday, Kenta Maeda agreed to a two-year contract with the Tigers, after a three year stint with the Twins. After missing all of 2022 recovering from TJ surgery, he returned this year to post some solid skills. Unfortunately, a triceps injury cost him nearly two months, limiting him to just 104.1 innings. Now on his third MLB team since debuting in 2016, how will the home park switch affect his results? Let’s consult the park factors to find out.

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A week ago, the Diamondbacks acquired Eugenio Suárez to act as their regular third baseman. We already project him to hit third, so the impact of the park switch on his performance is important for fantasy owners to be aware of. Let’s dive into the park factors.

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Just over a week ago, Lance Lynn signed a one-year contract with the Cardinals. It marks a triumphant return to the team he started his career with, last pitching while donning their uniform back in 2017. Since, he’s been a member of five different rotations. Now coming off the highest ERA of his career, let’s dive into the park factors to determine whether his new home park might provide an assist in his quest to rebound.

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Today we move on to reviewing Steamer’s favorite starting pitchers compared to THE BAT. As a reminder, Steamer actually proved closer in projected dollar value than THE BAT for all six of the latter’s favorites. Will THE BAT sweep Steamer’s favorites? Let’s find out.

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After finishing our review of projected hitter dollar value compared to actual, let’s now skip on over to starting pitchers. We’ll start by reviewing THE BAT’s favorite starters, with projected dollar values significantly higher than Steamer.

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Yesterday, I began my review of dollar values earned versus projected dollar values by THE BAT X and Steamer. It was THE BAT X’s turn first, so today we’ll review Steamer’s favorite fantasy targets.

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We’ve finished reviewing the individual stat forecasts as part of the 2023 projection showdown, pitting THE BAT X against Steamer, so now it’s time to recap the projected dollar values. What’s interesting when reviewing projected dollar values is that sometimes the shape of a player’s performance differs from what was forecasted, but the total dollar value may have been nailed. So the total contribution was as desired, but a weak process was used…kind of like a blind squirrel finding a nut. Let’s begin by reviewing THE BAT X’s hitter favorites.

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Today is the final ERA forecast review as part of the 2023 projection showdown. We finish up with six more of Steamer’s ERA favorites compared to THE BAT. Let’s see which system fared better.

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Unlike the other projection showdowns, I decided to go a bit deeper on the ERA forecasts, reviewing the next six names on each system’s bullish list. Today, we’ll jump back into THE BAT’s starting pitcher ERA favorites. As a reminder, these were the system’s top six.

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