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Outfield ADP Market Report: 1/31/2026

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here. Read the rest of this entry »


Catcher 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/15/2025 – First Release
  • 1/8/2026 – Dalton Rushing and Sean Murphy updates
  • 1/26/2026 – J.T Realmuto and Victor Caratini signings.
  • 2/2/2026 – Projections and ADP update.
  • 2/10/2026 – ADP update.

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Catcher Overview

The catcher position is about as deep as it’s been after an influx of young talent to the position over the last few seasons. The additions of young studs to the crop of older, aging veterans give the position some beef, but also add to it’s volatility as we have seen with a number of the players who entered the Majors over previous seasons have shown us.

The biggest issue with the position is dependent on the format you are drafting for. In shallower one catcher leagues, it’s often best to wait as long as possible unless a player you covet drops. In deeper two catcher formats, the back end the pool offers negative value giving you more reasons to draft one or both of your catchers early. Knowing how your format and league values the position is crucial to your draft strategy.

Today’s Discussion

No news is good news, but we update the projections and ADP anyhow. Pitchers and catcher report soon, so we should get bigger updates coming soon!

The Franchise

The top guy at the position stands alone
The Franchise
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 19 $31

Cal Raleigh is coming off of an historic season where he hit the most home runs ever by a catcher and was the #2 player on the player rater. There is no where to go but down but even with regression, he should be the first catcher off the board. He is a great bet for power and counting categories, but the contact skills gives him an average floor is much lower than what we saw in 2025.

Cornerstone Backstops

A ton of high upside talent and Sal Perez!
Cornerstone Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $22
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 57 $21
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 51 $19
5 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 82 $11
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 93 $16
7 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 67 $23
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 94 $19

A year after his breakout season, William Contreras took a step back, hitting just .260/.355/.399 with 17 home runs and six stolen bases. Some of that regression was likely injury related as he played through a finger fracture that is now been fixed through surgery. He should rebound now that he is healthy and return to being an elite option.

Shea Langeliers has made massive gains in each of the last two seasons in contact skills going from 78% to 83% to 85% while not sacrificing power or his approach. Hitting in Sacramento is a dream location for him and the A’s should continue to improve.

You can make the argument that Ben Rice should be the #2 catcher in fantasy since he isn’t actually catching this season. He could have the most plate appearances for a cather-eligible player if the Yankees do not bring in anyone to compete with him. His combination of power and contact skills along with the home park could make for a massive season.

Agustin Ramirez showed a better hit tool than expected and the power was as advertised. We can’t sleep on the speed, either, as he went a very solid 16-for-19 on the basepaths. He is not a very good catcher defensively and likely will lose eligibility there at some point, but that is a problem for future seasons. He will get extra PAs at DH which will allow him to rack up plate appearances, but the Marlins supporting cast is meager which will hurt the runs and RBIs.

Drake Baldwin is coming off of winning Rookie of the Year in the National League and there is more upside in the bat. He showcased his great approach and contact skills, but with a launch angle tweak, he could have a massive breakout. His bat speed, average exit velocity, and hard hit percentage were all in the top 85 percentile so if he could elevate some, he could push his homers in the mid twenties which would be some nice upside for a high floor catcher.

Hunter Goodman has elite power but the approach and swing and miss can be a problem for him. Hitting in Colorado will help because of the BABIP inflation and the lack of competition for the role, but the batting average downside is real and he will regress there in 2026.

Being the old man of the group isn’t a bad thing. Salvador Perez is about as consistent as can be. He has back-to-back healthy season with at least 27 home runs and 100 RBIs. The ceiling may not be as high as the rest of the tier, but you don’t get much safer than Sal.

Last Year’s Favorites

Last year’s draft favorites that could jump up a tier!
Last Year’s Favorites
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 113 $14
10 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH 159 $13
11 Will Smith LAD C 108 $13

When Yainer Diaz hit 23 home runs in just 377 plate appearances in 2023, people thought a full season breakout was coming, but in the last two seasons he has shown that power output was likely an outlier. He still has a high floor because of his fantastic contact ability, but the ceiling dropping a bit is why he is no longer in higher tiers.

Adley Rutschman lost a lot of time last year to injury and really struggled when he was on the field. If healthy, then he is likely to rebound to the levels we saw in 2023 and 2024 at least. There is still upside in the bat from his prospect pedigree and initial call up, but we can no longer project he will automatically get there.

Will Smith is about as safe as they come. You can can bank on high teens/low 20s home runs with a good average and great counting stats hitting in the top half of the Dodgers lineup. He actually had the second best barrel rate and hard hit percentages of his career, but it didn’t translate into more power. The downside is that he will never accumulate like other catchers because Ohtani blocks off the designated hitter spot.

Safe Backstops

Guys that do not have a ton of upside, but arent going to hurt you
Safe Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
12 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH 171 $21
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 154 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 170 $8

Ivan Herrera won’t even be catcher eligible in most formats because he missed so much time with an elbow injury. He is expected to catch some, but will likely reside mostly at DH. The lack of pop limits his ceiling, but there is nice floor as long as he is healthy and he should be able to accumulate a lot of plate appearances at DH.

Alejandro Kirk makes a lot of contact and there is some power in the bat, but that makes it a high floor profile rather than one that is super enticing for shallower one catcher formats.

When Gabriel Moreno hit four home runs in the 2023 postseason people got really excited that a massive breakout was coming. That was a mistake, but he is a great defensive catcher with a very good hit tool. He did show a bit more pop with a career-high .433 SLG and 9 HRs, but his .281 AVG points to his high floor as even his career-low .266 from 2023 was tied for 5th-highest at Catcher (min. 350 PA).

Why Is This Position Like This?

Talent with red flags
Why Is This Position Like This?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 178 $8
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 173 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 228 $6
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 208 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 249 $7

Samuel Basallo is a top tier prospect that made his debut in 2025. There is a ton of power in the bat and the question is whether he will make enough contact to unlock at the Major League level. the minor league numbers say he should, but there may be some growing pains, but the upside is tremendous. With the addition of Pete Alonso, he will need to hit to keep his spot, but I believe he will.

Francisco Alvarez has been great when he is on the field, but he has struggled with that since 2023. If he can stay healthy, there is 25-30 homer power. There are few catchers that have his power profile at the position, but he is best served for shallower formats where there is replacement value on the wire.

Austin Wells is built for Yankees Stadium where he can pull the ball in the air to the short porch. He makes better in-zone contact than his average suggests, so there is a chance that he could begin to make gains there, but I wouldn’t project that.

I love J.T. Realmuto, but the skills have been degrading for a while. That being said, ending back in Philly was the best case scenario for him. There is still a safe floor up the ceiling is lowering quickly.

Deep League Intrigue

Most useful for 2-Catcher leagues but have the talent to jump up a tier or two
Deep League Intrigue
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 248 $1
21 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C 241 $3
22 Carter Jensen KC C $1
23 Dillion Dingler DET C 223 $2
24 Kyle Teel CHW C 183 $4
25 Carson Kelly CHC C 328 -$3
26 Sean Murphy ATL C 406 -$3
27 Harry Ford WAS C 405 -$11

If Tyler Stephenson had not missed so much time with injury, his line would have looked a lot more similar to his good 2024 season as opposed to his paltry 2023 one. However, his contact skills took a hit with his swinging strike rate rising and his Z-Contact dropping to its lowest mark of his career. He should bounceback some if healthy, but there are red flags here.

Carter Jensen is a top 50 prospect that debuted in 2025 and looked the part in a very small sample. The problem is playing time. With Sal Perez locked in behind the plate and a number of players that will be rotating at DH in Kansas City, it’s hard to find 400 plate appearance for the rookie. If he can find those plate appearances, then there is some upside for a guy that went 20/10 with a .290/.377/.501 line at AAA last season.

Kyle Teel is a former top prospect, but he is more of a real life asset that a fantasy one. His power profile projects him to be more of a teens homer guy and there isn’t a great hit tool in the profile either. He will accumulate some, but he will also be sharing the position.

Sean Murphy has fallen off since coming to Atlanta and he likely isn’t regaining his pre-Braves form, but maybe if he gets a change of scenery via trade, he could become closer to the guy we saw in Oakland. There is a chance he misses time at the beginning of the season due to offseason hip surgery which is the reason for the drop. If we get a better timeline, he could move further down or back up.

Harry Ford is a top 50 prospect who debuted in 2025, but was only given eight plate appearances in a small cup of coffee in the Majors. The 22-year-old was fantastic in AAA in 2025, hitting .283/.408/.460 with 16 home runs and seven stolen bases in 458 plate appearances. He was moved this offseason to Washington where he could find himself on the opening day roster, sharing duties with Ruiz. There is some decent upside, but his power is still developing some.

Passed Balls

Probably best served for the deepest of leagues.
Passed Balls
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
28 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH 394 $0
29 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH 401 -$7
30 Edgar Quero CHW C 318 -$1
31 Bo Naylor CLE C 323 $2
32 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B 366 -$2
33 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 291 -$3
34 Patrick Bailey SF C 439 $0

There isn’t a lot of upside in Freddy Fermin’s bat, but he has shown he can be a high floor accumulator when given playing time and now that he has escaped Sal Perez’s shadow and moved onto sunny San Diego, he should just get that.

Injuries derailed Keibert Ruiz’s season in 2025 and now there is competition for the role with Ford being acquired via trade this offseason. There wasn’t a ton of upside before and now there is a lower floor if he cannot accumulate as easily.

Edgar Quero is a former top 100 prospect, but he shares the role with Teel and is not as good of a defender. There isn’t much of a carrying tool for fantasy in the profile so he needs to get a lot of plate appearances in order to accumulate.

I understand why some people love Bo Naylor. While a good pop-good approach-no hit tool profile is not usually a problem in fantasy, but when you are on a team that loves Austin Hedges for his defense so much that you get stuck under 415 plate appearances, then the low ceiling/low floor combo isn’t as enticing.

Victor Caratini signed a deal to be the backup catcher in Minnesota. He will pick up added plate appearances at DH as well making him an interesting deep league third catcher or even a low end C2.

Patrick Bailey is a premium defender behind the plate, but the offensive skills have never caught up to the defense. However, he will accumulate because he does not miss any games.

Emergency Catchers

Useful in draft and hold formats
Emergency Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
35 Dalton Rushing LAD C 442 -$12
36 Nick Fortes TBR C 589 -$8
37 Jonah Heim FA C/DH 567 -$15
38 Miguel Amaya CHC C 446 -$8
39 Joey Bart PIT C/DH 467 -$6
40 Danny Jansen TEX C 441 -$5

Dalton Rushing has talent, but he needs a trade more than anyone in baseball and recent rumors are that the Dodgers could move him. If he does get moved, he would shoot up the ranks further.

Jonah Heim’s value will be dependent on where he signs.

Danny Jansen has never lived up to the early career hype, but he will play and can accumulate for deeper formats as long as he’s healthy.

Bullpen Catchers

The Rest
Bullpen Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
41 Pedro Pages STL C 513 -$7
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C 745 -$18
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B 502 -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH 641 -$12
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$10
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH 715 -$14
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C 461 -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 564 -$11
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C 570 -$22
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$19

Joe Mack is a top 50 prospect that has power and is fantastic behind the plate. However, he really struggles with contact. His defense should prevent him from becoming a AAAA player, but there is a chance he spends the entire season in AAA trying to improve his hit tool.

Jeferson Quero is one of the Brewers top prospects and will be ready for the Majors at some point this season, but with Contreras in tow, I don’t know if there will be enough plate appearances to matter in 2026.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 19 $31
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $22
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 57 $21
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 51 $19
5 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 82 $11
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 93 $16
7 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 67 $23
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 94 $19
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 113 $14
10 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH 159 $13
11 Will Smith LAD C 108 $13
12 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH 171 $21
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 154 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 170 $8
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 178 $8
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 173 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 228 $6
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 208 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 249 $7
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 248 $1
21 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C 241 $3
22 Carter Jensen KC C $1
23 Dillion Dingler DET C 223 $2
24 Kyle Teel CHW C 183 $4
25 Carson Kelly CHC C 328 -$3
26 Sean Murphy ATL C 406 -$3
27 Harry Ford WAS C 405 -$11
28 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH 394 $0
29 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH 401 -$7
30 Edgar Quero CHW C 318 -$1
31 Bo Naylor CLE C 323 $2
32 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B 366 -$2
33 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 291 -$3
34 Patrick Bailey SF C 439 $0
35 Dalton Rushing LAD C 442 -$12
36 Nick Fortes TBR C 589 -$8
37 Jonah Heim FA C/DH 567 -$15
38 Miguel Amaya CHC C 446 -$8
39 Joey Bart PIT C/DH 467 -$6
40 Danny Jansen TEX C 441 -$5
41 Pedro Pages STL C 513 -$7
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C 745 -$18
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B 502 -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH 641 -$12
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$10
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH 715 -$14
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C 461 -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 564 -$11
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C 570 -$22
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$19

Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – February 9, 2026

Here is today’s chat transcript:
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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1471 – 2026 Second Base Preview Pt. 2

2/2/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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Third Base ADP Market Report: 1/31/2026

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

Read the rest of this entry »


Shortstop ADP Market Report: 1/31/2026

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – February 2, 2026

Here is today’s chat transcript:
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Shortstop 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Sep 24, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson (5) jogs towards the dugout before the start of the game against the Houston Astros at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/22/2025 – First Release
  • 1/12/2026 – Projections update
  • 1/26/2026 – Bo Bichette signing
  • 2/1/2025 – Ha-Seong Kim injury, Projections update

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Shortstop Overview

The shortstop position is once again the deepest position in fantasy from top to bottom. There is a great mix of talent from old, reliable vets to young up and comers. However, a lot of the position has eligibility at other spots and there are big drop offs through out.

Today’s Discussion

Ha-Seong Kim gets hurt again.

Short(stop) King

The top guy at the position stands alone
Short(stop) King
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $35

Bobby Witt Jr. was fantastic, but just didn’t hit for quite the power he did in 2024 and 2023. However, some of that can be chalked up to the injuries he played through. In spite of that, he still got to 687 plate appearances and stole 38 bases. If he is back to being full healthy, there is no reason to think that he cannot only be the top SS but challenge for the top player in fantasy not named Shohei.

Five Category Wizards

Top tier talent worth reaching for at shortstop.
Five Category Wizards
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 10 $28
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 14 $27
4 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 17 $24
5 Zach Neto LAA SS 33 $22

There is an argument that Elly De La Cruz should be in the first tier with Witt, but there is just a bit more risk to his profile. He is making small improvements in the contact skills which is encouraging, but he definitely struggled in the second half, only hitting four home runs and stealing 12 bases. Manager Terry Francona stated that he would likely be giving him more days off after the break next year which could help but would lower his plate appearance upside a little. There upside is immense and at some point he could easily be the top player in fantasy, but the floor keeps him from challenging Witt for now.

Gunnar Henderson started the year on the IL and never really had the hot streak from a power perspective that one would have expected after his 2024 breakout. The more concerning part is the struggles versus lefties that plagued him in his rookie season returned. I do believe the power returns and he is better in 2025, but it may not be back to the 2024 levels and may look more like his 2023 season.

Francisco Lindor has gone 31/31 in two of the last three seasons and the one time he didn’t, he missed it by just two stolen bases in 2024. His profile is about as consistent as they come and the only thing that could change his rank is the talk that he could be traded this offseason.

In spite of starting the year on the IL due to offseason injury, Zach Neto still posted a 26/26 season and has made improvements on the underlying contact skills and power metrics. If not for starting the year on the IL and then ending it on the IL with a hand strain, he would have likely had a 30/30 season. The only issue for Neto is the lineup around him as the Angels have traded away Ward and it doesn’t seem like they will add much to support Neto and Trout.

Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power

These guys can change the makeup of your team in multiple categories without making you sacrifice the other ones.
Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
6 Trea Turner PHI SS 27 $21
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 82 $14
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 57 $15

Trea Turner still is a premium talent, but the power decline has been noticeable as he has had a dip in two straight seasons in homers and fly balls. He has also missed more time than he used to over his last two seasons, but still offers quality production in runs, stolen bases, and average.

Maikel Garcia has elite contact skills, but the addition of some power was the nice surprise. he improved his is barrel rate, his hard hit percentage and his exit velocities. Now, he is never going to be a massive homer or RBI threat, but to go from someone who hurt you in two categories to a contributor in five is massive. If the young offense behind him can continue to grow, Garcia could find himself pushing up into the next tier.

In spite of a terrible approach and questionable defense, CJ Abrams has turned into a pretty good fantasy option as a player who makes enough contact and then uses his speed to rack base hits and stolen bases. He likely won’t take another step forward until he improves his approach, but there isn’t a reason to believe he will until we see or hear something different.

Up The Middle Menaces

Great shortstop options or elite MIs
Up The Middle Menaces
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 63 $19
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 104 $10
11 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS 85 $15
12 Jeremy Pena HOU SS 95 $14

Remember when Mookie Betts got sick during the Tokyo Series and lost 20 lbs because he vomited up every time he ate? We have to wonder if that was responsible for a lot of his struggles in the first half of the season. Obviously, it may just be natural regression as he ages into his 30s, but there are reasons to be concerned at this point. This will be the cheapest you will have been able to draft him ever and there isn’t much risk of him completely falling off, but the upside certainly seems limited. I agonized over where to rank him because this does feel low, so he could find himself moving up as the offseason rolls on.

Nico Hoerner was an afterthought in drafts last season due to concerns he could start the year on the IL since he was recovering from offseason surgery. However, he ended up being ready for the start of the actual season (missing the Tokyo Series) and being the guy he has been his entire career which is be a good asset in runs, stolen bases and batting average. He can actively hurt you in home runs and RBI which holds him back from moving up with Turner and Garcia, but he is a safe bet for a 30+ stolen bases and a good average and there is a range of outcomes where he competes for a batting title.

Death, taxes, and Justin Mason giving up on a player a year before his breakout are the most guaranteed things in this world. Geraldo Perdomo was unreal in 2025, hitting .290/.389/.462 with 20 home runs and 27 stolen bases. The power is likely to regress with his 6.2% barrel rate and a 32% hard hit percentage. However, the stolen bases can definitely stick around and he is a very good in-zone hitter which I always love. The most important thing is the health. This was Perdomo’s first season in which he was able to stay on the field and get over the 500 plate appearance mark. If he can stay on the field, he can accumulate and be very valuable.

Set It and Forget It(ish)

There’s talent here, but it comes with some risk.
Set It and Forget It(ish)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Trevor Story BOS SS 112 $16
14 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH 108 $11
15 Willy Adames SF SS 132 $12
16 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 148 $10
17 Xavier Edwards MIA SS ▲2 175 $6
18 Jacob Wilson OAK SS ▼1 180 $11
19 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS ▲1 183 $6
19 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS ▲3 142 $5
21 Bo Bichette NYM SS ▼3 110 $17
21 Brendon Donovan STL 2B/SS/OF 284 $2

Prior to 2025, Trevor Story had not been able to stay on the field since arriving in Boston. It all came together in 2025 when he put together his best season since 2019. He is 33 and has a long injury history at this point, so there is a ton of risk that he doesn’t get back to 600 plate appearances, but especially in shallower formats where there is plenty of replacement value, he is well worth the risk.

Corey Seager is a stud on a per plate appearance basis, but he struggles to stay on the field. In shallow leagues, that’s fine because of the replacement value at the position, but it becomes harder to roster him the deeper the league gets. The skills are immaculate and there is talk he could be moved this offseason which would likely be a park upgrade, but that is a discussion for a different day.

Willy Adames really struggled in the his first few months with the Giants, but once July hit, he was a different player, hitting .242/.341/.512 with 21 home runs and eight stolen bases in 328 plate appearances. The park and team do not do him many favors and while it’s hard to know for sure how new manager Tony Vitello will approach things, Vitello did not push things on the basepaths in Tennessee in 2025 so a bump in stolen bases may not be on the horizon. He did become the first Giant to hit 30 homers since Barry Bonds left so you should get power and good counting stats at worst.

Jacob Wilson was on pace for a Rookie of the Year caliber season before he broke his forearm and missed a month of the season. Wilson has one of the best hit tools in all of baseball, but there isn’t a lot else in the profile. He did hit 13 home runs which was surprising especially because half of those happened on the road. The problem with one category guys is if they get hurt or slump, they can really make it hard to replace their value on the wire, but the price is fair and if you need average, he will definitely give you plenty.

Jackson Holliday was decent in his first full season in the Majors and while there wasn’t a ton to do backflips over, he just turned 22 and the underlying skills are pretty well set for the future. We know there is good underlying power in Jackson’s bat and when it finally shows, he could be a stud, but it’s hard to know when that will happen. For now, he is a high floor guy that should continue to get better as he matures, but if people start paying for the breakout, that might be premature for 2026.

Bichette has signed a multi-year deal with the Mets to play third base. He is moving to a worse park for his power and will be seeing pitchers he is much less familar with. He could get a boost in stolen bases as the Mets did run much more than the Blue Jays, but this isn’t the best overall fit for him. Picking up third base will be nice, but he does drop a little bit in the ranks.

Donovan is a high floor, low ceiling glue guy that could be a runs/average play in a lot of leagues if he can stay healthy. Unfortunately, he has struggled with that in all, but one of his seasons in the Majors. He is reportedly a trade candidate which could massive change his value depending on where he ends up.

Shortstops With Red Flags

These guys have the talent to jump up and be more but also have a red flag or two or three that add on risk
Shortstops With Red Flags
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
23 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 194 $11
25 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS 223 $5
26 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 287 $5
27 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 226 $4
28 Masyn Winn STL SS ▲1 263 $5
29 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS ▲1 212 $5
30 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS ▼2 398 $1
31 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 314 $5
32 Carlos Correa HOU SS 271 $1
33 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 339 -$4
34 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 236 $3
35 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 320 $0
35 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS ▲1 399 -$15
36 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▲1 350 -$4

Ezequiel Tovar lost over 60 games in 2025 to injuries and when he returned in the second half, he struggled to get going completely. He still has terrible plate discipline and is not a great in-zone hitter and while there is pop and Coors helps, the underlying skills are a problem.

Ernie Clement had an unreal postseason run, hitting .411/.416/.562. Add that into his fantastic positional eligibility and there is going to be some hype on him heading into drafts. He makes a ton of in-zone contact, which I love but he also struggled with swinging too much outside the zone and his lack of punch paints a mediocre picture. Right now, he has a full time role, but if the Blue Jays bring back Bichette or someone else, that would like disappear back to being a utility guy.

It’s hard to know what to make of Matt McLain at this point. He broke out of nowhere in 2023, missed all of 2024, and then was extremely uneven in his return to the field in 2025. A lot of the skills we saw in 2023 were still intact in 2025, but he was unable to maintain the high BABIP rate and he lifted the ball too much which caused his line drive rate to drop from 24% (9th best in baseball) to 17% (14th worst in baseball.) The question is whether his 2026 will look more like his 2025 season than his 2023 debut which I tend to believe it will unless we get more of a reason to think otherwise before drafts are in full force.

Colson Montgomery has power and a pretty good approach, but he struggles with consistent contact. That won’t be a problem on a rebuilding team in Chicago, but he could hurt your batting average in a ton of formats. If he can make just a bit more contact, he could jump up a few tiers and at 24 years old, there is still room for skills growth.

Nasim Nuñez has speed and is good defensively, but not a ton else in the profile. He does walk some, so if he can make league average contact, there could be some upside here on a guy that is penciled into a regular role right now in Washington.

Anthony Volpe has all the talent in the world, but has struggled over the course of his first few seasons. A lot of people in and out of New York seem ready to give up on him, but he still has power and speed along with a better hit tool than he gets credit for. He is low on these ranks because he is likely to begin the season on the IL and there is a chance the Yankees move on from him, but I am not ready to completely disregard him at 25 years old.

Deep League MIs

Shallow leagues are not drafting these guys, but still should keep them on your radar
Deep League MIs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
37 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▲1 227 -$12
39 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 346 $1
40 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS 403 -$3
41 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS 409 -$5
42 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS 407 -$3
43 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 386 -$4
43 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲1 -$1
44 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS ▲1 521 -$9
45 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲2 480 -$16

Jose Caballero has a ton of speed and he puts it to good use when he gets playing time. Unless the Yankees bring in someone else, he will get that shot to begin the year with Volpe being on the IL. Even if you get nothing else from him in 2026, he could steal 50-60 bases this year.

Konnor Griffin is the top prospect in baseball for a reason. Recent reports say the Pirates will give him a shot to break camp camp with the team. I am still dubious that they actually start his clock, but there is amazing upside if they do. He could shoot up this list into the top 20 if it seems like he will be on the Opening Day roster.

With Kim out for the first half of the season, Mauricio Dubon is expected to get most of plate appearances at shortstop for the Braves. There isnt a ton of upside here but he will get plate appearances.

The Rest

Really deep league guys at best
The Rest
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
46 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF 439 -$8
47 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH ▲1 351 -$8
48 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS ▲1 466 -$11
49 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS ▲1 492 -$10
50 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 340 -$10
51 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF ▲1 491 -$26
52 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▲1 623 -$21
53 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▲1 597 -$18
54 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▲1 625 -$16
55 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 665 -$17
56 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 474 -$15
57 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS ▲1 709 -$22
58 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS ▼34 280 -$11
58 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH ▲1 522 -$26
59 David Hamilton BOS 2B/SS ▲1 722 -$25
60 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS ▲1 525 -$15

Find someone who loves you as much as the Rays love Taylor Walls. Just don’t draft them or Walls for your fantasy team.

Ha-Seong Kim is going to be missing 4-5 months with another injury. He is not draftable in most formats.

Thomas Saggese will jump up this ranks if Donovan is traded.

Prospects That Could Debut This Year

The future may be here sooner rather than later for some of these guys.
Prospects That Could Debut This Year
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
61 Kevin McGonigle DET SS ▲1 -$18
62 Carson Williams TB SS ▲1 445 -$8
63 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲1 -$11
65 Colt Emerson SEA SS -$18
66 Sebastian Walcott TEX SS -$31

Kevin McGonigle doesn’t have a ton of power or speed, but what he does do is rake. His highest strikeout rate at any level was 12.6% and does a bit of everything. He won’t have to stay in the minors for long once the Tigers realize he is better than Baez and McKinstry already.

Carson Williams struggled in his debut in 2025 and while he has a shot to make the team as the everyday shortstop, the lack of hit tool is a huge problem. With the Rays shedding salary, he probably will get a good amount of PAs, so chances are that he is further up this list next update.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $35
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 10 $28
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 14 $27
4 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 17 $24
5 Zach Neto LAA SS 33 $22
6 Trea Turner PHI SS 27 $21
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 82 $14
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 63 $19
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 104 $10
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 57 $15
11 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS 85 $15
12 Jeremy Pena HOU SS 95 $14
13 Trevor Story BOS SS 112 $16
14 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH 108 $11
15 Willy Adames SF SS 132 $12
16 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 148 $10
17 Xavier Edwards MIA SS ▲2 175 $6
18 Jacob Wilson OAK SS ▼1 180 $11
19 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS ▲1 183 $6
19 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS ▲3 142 $5
21 Bo Bichette NYM SS ▼3 110 $17
21 Brendon Donovan STL 2B/SS/OF 284 $2
23 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 194 $11
25 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS 223 $5
26 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 287 $5
27 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 226 $4
28 Masyn Winn STL SS ▲1 263 $5
29 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS ▲1 212 $5
30 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS ▼2 398 $1
31 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 314 $5
32 Carlos Correa HOU SS 271 $1
33 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 339 -$4
34 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 236 $3
35 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 320 $0
35 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS ▲1 399 -$15
36 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▲1 350 -$4
37 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▲1 227 -$12
39 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 346 $1
40 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS 403 -$3
41 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS 409 -$5
42 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS 407 -$3
43 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 386 -$4
43 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲1 -$1
44 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS ▲1 521 -$9
45 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲2 480 -$16
46 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF 439 -$8
47 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH ▲1 351 -$8
48 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS ▲1 466 -$11
49 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS ▲1 492 -$10
50 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 340 -$10
51 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF ▲1 491 -$26
52 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▲1 623 -$21
53 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▲1 597 -$18
54 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▲1 625 -$16
55 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 665 -$17
56 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 474 -$15
57 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS ▲1 709 -$22
58 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS ▼34 280 -$11
58 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH ▲1 522 -$26
59 David Hamilton BOS 2B/SS ▲1 722 -$25
60 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS ▲1 525 -$15
61 Kevin McGonigle DET SS ▲1 -$18
62 Carson Williams TB SS ▲1 445 -$8
63 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲1 -$11
65 Colt Emerson SEA SS -$18
66 Sebastian Walcott TEX SS -$31

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1469 – NL Sophomores

2/1/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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Second Base ADP Market Report: 1/28/26

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

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