Atlanta Braves Top 10 Prospects Updated

The Braves have steadily fed their big league roster with talent from the minors but they continue to have the best prospect depth in the National League East.

Click here for the pre-season Top 10

1. Mike Soroka | RHP | AAA โ€”> Although heโ€™s not a flame-thrower, Soroka has everything you look for in a young pitcher โ€” and future top-rotation arm. He still has a solid fastball in the 92-95 mph range, as well as two other above-average offerings. His control is above-average for his age and his command should be above-average in time. The biggest concern with the 6-5 hurler is his lack of durability and the shoulder issues that wiped out a good portion of his season. If healthy in 2019, he should be a solid contributor to the Bravesโ€™ rotation.

2. Ian Anderson | RHP | AA โ€”> Like Soroka, Anderson has a three-pitch mix that should be better-than-average and his fastball ranges between 92-95 mph. The 20-year-old doesnโ€™t have the above-average control, but it didnโ€™t keep him from striking out 142 batters in 119.1 innings. He allows an average number of fly balls but did an excellent job of keeping balls in the park with just two homers allowed. Anderson has a solid pitcherโ€™s frame and could a solid innings-eater as a No. 2-3 starter.

3. Kyle Wright | RHP | AAA โ€”> Another starter with top-of-the-rotation potential, the fifth overall pick of the 2017 draft chewed through minor league hitters and reached The Show at the end of 2018. His fastball sits in the mid-90s and can work into the upper 90s. He has a potential for two above-average breaking balls and an average-or-better changeup. Like Anderson, Wright has a frame that hints at 200+ inning potential. His control and command still need polish.

4. Touki Toussaint | RHP | AAA โ€”> Toussaint, 22, continues to be a bit of an enigma, although he did reach the Majors and had some success. He has the ability to work in the mid-to-upper 90s but threw more in the lower 90s late in the year with more emphasis on sinking the ball. He also showed above-average potential with his curve and changeup/splitter. Like the pitchers above, he has a solid pitcherโ€™s frame and should be able to hold up over a full season and provide lots of innings. On the down side, he fights his delivery more than the others and struggles with both his command and control. He has mid-rotation potential as a starter or high-leverage potential as a reliever.

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5. Austin Riley | 3B | AAA โ€”> The first hitter to the make the list, Riley has a chance to be a plus hitter for both average and power, although heโ€™ll need to trim the Ks to truly be effective as a hitter. In the upper minors, heโ€™s benefitted from high BABIPs but he also hits a lot of line drives and has above-average raw power. His BB-K of 37-129 shows a need to tighten up his approach at the plate. He has the arm and enough athleticism to stick at third base. I see a future .250-.270 hitter with 25+ home run potential in his prime.

6. Cristian Pache | OF | AA โ€”> Extremely raw, Pache will no doubt reach the Majors even if he doesnโ€™t develop much more with the bat. He has exceptional value tied to his base running, arm and defensive skills. Those tools easily earn plus grades. Just 19, heโ€™s already reached double-A so itโ€™s hard to knock his offence too much. He needs to become more patient which will allow him to find better offerings to hit and drive. Pache also reportedly has excellent makeup, which should help him continue to develop.

7. Joey Wentz | LHP | A+ โ€”> Wentz missed a good chunk of the year and the Braves have been pretty quiet about what his issues were so Iโ€™m a little hesitant to rank him this high. When healthy, he shows three above-average offerings, including a 92-94 mph fastball, with a strong pitcherโ€™s frame. He could eventually feature three above-average offerings. A competitive player, he might be better suited to relief if his health issues continue to surface (He has battled arm issues in the past).

8. Luiz Gohara | LHP | AAA โ€”> Gohara has perhaps the most electric stuff on his list with an upper-90s fastball and wipeout breaking ball. But heโ€™s also the most likely to end up as a reliever due to his poor command and so-so changeup. His control isnโ€™t as bad as his command but he gets hit around when he throws too many poor strikes. There are also concerns about his conditioning and heโ€™s battled health issues.

9. Drew Waters | OF | A+ โ€”> Selected in the second round of 2017, Waters already reached high-A ball at the age of 19. Heโ€™s quite athletic and has good speed, with the potential to steal 20-30 bases. He has shown excellent gap pop and could have some over-the-fence potential with some adjustments to his swing and a focus on hitting more fly balls. A switch-hitter, he currently shows more potential from the left side of the plate. Waters should have the ability to play all three outfield positions.

10. Bryse Wilson | RHP | AAA โ€”> Wilson works in the 92-95 mph range with his heater and induces a healthy number of ground-ball outs. He also possesses good control and struck out 143 batters in 125.2 innings despite needing to make improvements on his secondary offerings. He has a burly build and will need to watch his conditioning as he matures. Just 20, he has a lot of time to continue to develop but he might be a reliever in the long term.

Just Missed:

Kyle Muller | LHP | AA โ€”> A 2016 second rounder, Muller has moved more slowly than most of Atlantaโ€™s top arms. He has a big, strong pitcherโ€™s frame but has struggled with consistency and his velocity as a pro. He streamlined his delivery a bit in 2018 and had more success pitching at three levels and reaching double-A. He has the potential to have three average or better offerings. If the fastball comes all the way back, he could be a mid-rotation arm. If not, he has potential as a back-end innings-eater.

Kolby Allard | LHP | AAA โ€”> Allard reached the Majors as a 21-year-old hurler but lacks the overall stuff to be a high-end starter. He has an excellent changeup with a promising breaking ball but his fastball is fringe-average and his command needs work. He might stick at the back end of a big league rotation but he might be best suited to work as a sixth/seventh-inning reliever.

William Contreras | C | A+ โ€”> A young, athletic catcher, Contreras looks like a future big league back-up with just enough raw potential with the bat to maybe become a starter. He showed some pop in 2018 but heโ€™s a very aggressive hitter and needs to play under a little more control at the plate.





Marc Hulet has been writing at FanGraphs since 2008. His work focuses on prospects and fantasy. Follow him on Twitter @marchulet.

22 Comments
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Newest Most Voted
DustyColorado
7 years ago

If the Braves were to pull off a coup and acquire Wander Javier from the Minnesota Twins, where would you rank him here?

Handsome Wes
7 years ago
Reply to  DustyColorado

Ugh, I had a post here, but I am deleting it because of my #1 rule of message boards: Don’t Feed the Trolls.

DustyColorado
7 years ago
Reply to  Handsome Wes

All I read was the “#1” in your comment, which I assume was your answer to my question. And I agree. Thanks. #nomnom

hipsterdoofus
7 years ago
Reply to  DustyColorado

Don’t know why he’s being downvoted, seems like a legitimate question.

pepper69funMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  hipsterdoofus

It’s just not a relevant question when examining talent currently in the Braves system. It’s just a strange and meaningless hypothetical. Worse, Fangraphs actually has an overall ranking RIGHT NOW that you could go read and have your answer. That’s why you are getting down votes. It was a silly question.

DustyColorado
7 years ago
Reply to  pepper69fun

These rankings are for fantasy and Marc Hulet’s rankings don’t get included in the overall Fangraphs ranks from Kiley and Eric. I want Marc Hulet’s opinion, for fantasy, on what the Braves system would look like with Wander Javier in it.

pepper69fun, do you agree with wcrickards that Wander would be ranked #1?

Spitball McPhee
7 years ago

needs more pitching

defenders50
7 years ago

Soroka’s “lack of durability”. The kid pitched 140 IP as a 19 year old and 150 as a 20 year old. He was the definition of an innings eater before last year. One injury and suddenly someone has durability issues? Admittedly, shoulder injuries are scary, but the question is whether he’s healthy or not, not whether he can be a workhorse because he’s already been a workhorse.

majnun
7 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

“he’s already been a workhorse” yes, but then he ended up with a shoulder injury ๐Ÿ™‚ You don’t get the credit of being a workhorse if it ends with a bullet in the horse.

defenders50
7 years ago
Reply to  majnun

Eeh, on one level, everyone is a workhorse until they aren’t. Kershaw was a workhorse until his back gave out. Bumgarner was a super workhorse until a dirt bike accident.
Considering the Braves have played hush-hush with this shoulder injury, it’s hard to tell if they were just playing it super safe with their young pitcher, or this actually effects his likelihood of being a workhorse in the future. I just don’t think it’s fair to penalize a pitcher that harshly for one injury. Most pitchers get injured at some point.
There’s also still a difference between Soroka and say, McCullers or Touissaint in how well their stuff will play over 160 IP vs 120 IP.

majnun
7 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

They sure could have used him late in the season and postseason, so I don’t think he was able to play through it. And sure, you are a workhorse until you aren’t, but usually that’s later than are 21 years old, Kershaw and Bumgarner had a trackrecord. Soroka had 1.5 seasons and then he got hurt.

LightenUpFGMember since 2018
7 years ago

If Ian Anderson is an ‘innings-eater’ in this day and age, does that mean he can go six innings? (sigh) I miss you, complete game.

(Side note: Most complete games thrown this year by a single pitcher is 2. TWO!)

majnun
7 years ago
Reply to  LightenUpFG

Excellent username/complaint synergy

LightenUpFGMember since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  majnun

Maybe the complete game will make a hip comeback too.

Chris
7 years ago

So thatโ€™s 9 solid starting pitching prospects, 8 of which could potentially reach the majors in 2019. Scary!

bjjfan
7 years ago

I think all the adversity that Gohara faced over the last year bears mentioning here. His father passed away suddenly, and before he could recover from the grief of that, his mother had some health issues and needed to have heart surgery. I’m not saying that his mind wasn’t on baseball these last 12 months, but I don’t think we really saw the real Luiz Gohara either. We get so caught up in looking at numbers for these guys that we often forget that they are human beings who have loves and fears and doubts and distractions in their real life.

v2miccaMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  bjjfan

Agreed. 2018 is essentially a lost year for Gohara. Hopefully he can reset in 2019.

Sn0wman
7 years ago
Reply to  bjjfan

With the small addendum that his father quite literally passed away in his arms, in the back of a cab on the way to a hospital.

v2miccaMember since 2016
7 years ago

While I do like this bunch of prospects, there does seem to be a high level of volatility. But, I guess that is to be expected when the top 10 list is dominated by pitching prospects. Some fairly high ceilings in this group, but it wouldn’t be shocking to see only a few pan out.

Matty 2 Seams
7 years ago

I am really looking forward to the return of Mike Soroka from injury, and seeing how the Braves starting rotation looks coming out of spring training. I was very impressed with Soroka during a few of his starts. You could say he pretty much “outdueled” Jacob DeGrom and Noah Syndergaard, one with a no hitter into the 7th. His command and pitch repertoire, plus his upside are so exciting for a Braves fan. My idea of a rotation for 2019 with what we currently have is based around Folty, Gausman, Touki, and Soroka, with a Lefty or two like Fried or Newk thrown in. There are also really talented guys like Anderson, Wright, and Wilson knocking on the door. Plus the possibility of AA adding another quality starter with experience to sure up the rotation. There are also around 6-8 guys in the Minors with legit starter upside. Cant wait to see how things look heading into 2019!

tippie
7 years ago

With their lack of innings eaters (only 3 SP tallied 150+ IP in 2018) and Sanchez FA, should Braves consider trading a 50-55 FV SP for bounce back candidate Jon Gray or Marcus Stroman?

LightenUpFGMember since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  tippie

I bet it depends on whether or not the Braves don’t mind a bunch of 5 IP starters with a strong enough bullpen to help finish a game. With the amount of starting talent in the minors, it’d be odd to get a veteran starter unless they feel that they need another mentor (a la McCarthy) to guide the ship.