It once again is time for the monthly update for my AL Outfield Tiers! As always, these are my rest of the season ranks for the position and you can check out my previous versions below as well as Alex Chamberlain’s NL versions.
This month I have named my tiers based upon my favorite breakfast foods.
Tier 1: BACON
Nothing is better than bacon.
Tier 2: Biscuits and Gravy
Mookie is the biscuits and Springer is the gravy.
Tier 3: Pancakes
Desmond is swinging at pitches outside of the zone less and striking out less. I almost put him in Tier 2, but he has a really high BABIP and HR/FB rate which will lead to some obvious regression. However, I still believe in a lot of the adjustments he made at the plate this season.
I keep waiting for Mark Trumbo to fall off, but it is hard not to buy into the production. In seasons past he has faded in the second half, so I would sell him if I could get good value.
I got a fair amount of grief for my ranking of Adam Jones in the May update, but he had a pretty great June hitting ten home runs and a .315/.348/.639 line. His hard contact percentage for the month of June was over 40% and he is not swinging at pitches outside the zone as much as he did last season. He is a good bet to get to 30 home runs and get his average up towards .280.
Tier 4: Monkey Bread
I was torn about moving Lorenzo Cain down into this tier, but with the recent hamstring strain and his history of hamstring injuries, I thought I needed to play it safe.
With nineteen home runs already, I feel pretty good about being so high on Khris Davis preseason. He has raised his average and on base percentage each month and the power plays in any park. Since he is still under club control for a few more seasons, I don’t expect him to get moved in Oakland’s yearly fire sale, which is unfortunate because you’d love to see him in a contender’s line up.
Michael Saunders has been a godsend to fantasy squads this year. He made a swing adjustment this year and it is really paying off. Of course, not tripping over sprinkler heads helps too. The question rest of the way is health, but given that I think he can hit another 14-17 home runs in that great Blue Jays lineup. The average will come down but I would be surprised if it dropped below .260 rest of the way.
Justin Upton has started putting it together. While it may not show in the results quite yet, he is walking more and striking out less. I still believe he gets over 20 home runs and double digit steals. You aren’t getting what you paid for him on draft day, but there are very encouraging signs.
Tier 5: Chicken Fried Steak and Eggs
Jackie Bradley Jr
Melky is quietly putting together a pretty nice year. He is hitting .294/.344/.462 while walking more and striking out less than last season. He doubled his home run total in the month of June and is looking more like the 2014 version of himself.
I recently wrote about Rajai Davis as a guy who is under owned in fantasy.
I still can’t completely buy into Tyler Naquin, but his numbers have been out of this world.
Tyler Naquin since Byrd suspension:.339/.422/.821/1.243
— Peter Gammons (@pgammo) June 29, 2016
It is easy to forget that he does have some pedigree. However, regression is coming. He has a .458 BABIP and a 31.1% strikeout rate.
Kevin Pillar has hit 5 home runs and has hit .290/.317/.500 in the month of June. It is nice to see signs of life from him, but he is still striking out more and walking at an abysmal 2.9% for the month. I think the true talent level is something in between April/May and June.
Tier 6: Eggs Benedict
It is the injury tier!
Martinez is supposed to miss another 2-4 weeks, but that seems pretty optimistic.
Michael Brantley is hitting off a tee, but there is still no timetable to return.
Sano is on a rehab assignment and should be back soon. While, Souza should be starting his own pretty soon.
Tier 7: BACON
Dickerson will turn it around, Dickerson will turn it around, Dickerson will turn it around. Has it happened yet? No? I still believe it will, but at some point it becomes harder and harder to stand by my convictions.
Carlos Beltran is having an amazing season, but who knows what kind of situation he ends up at the trade deadline and if he can stay healthy rest of the way.
I’ve been an ardent supporter of Max Kepler and it is nice seeing him getting the playing time, but I worry that will be lessened once Sano returns.
Tier 8: Waffles
Rua has been a pretty successful platoon player that as had a pretty great June. Still, outside of the deepest of leagues, he can’t be trusted to get regular playing time.
If you have time, go listen to Paul Sporer’s impression of Whit Merrifield.
Tier 9: Omelets
The minor leaguer tier! At some point all of these guys will be up, but your guess is as good as mine to when.
Tier 10: Coffee and Cigarettes and BACON
It bothered me that I wasn’t at a round number. Ranking 75 outfielders was better than 71.
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as random topics that float into his juvenile brain. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and a fantasy football and baseball writer for Fantasy Alarm. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.