Ah, Much Better: My Second Mock of the Year

After how poorly my first mock draft went, I was more than a little excited to get back out there and try again. Howard Bender is kind enough to keep me in his Mock Draft Army and we held the first MDA mock of the year yesterday evening, with the tweets and hashtags to prove it. I outlined my “bats first, other than catchers” plan (side note: I’ve been tinkering with an acronym for this, calling it the EBEC plan: Early Bats, Except Catchers) on Wednesday and lets see how well I stuck to the plan, as well as what my team looks like.

Rather than split it up into a detailed breakdown of infield, outfield and pitchers like last time, I’ll display the mock in a different format today by highlighting certain picks and let the comment section decide which version they prefer. The full draft board can be found here with my team below.

mda1

If I had a vote for the imaginary award of Mr. Dependable it would go to Matt Holliday. Since I just made up that award, I’m giving myself full voting power. Congratulations Mr. Holliday! Even after your .272 average being the lowest of your career, you still managed 20 home runs and 90 RBIs in 156 games. I believe his average will bounce back to the .290 mark and getting him in the fifth round is more than solid. Holliday posted an 8.5% swinging strike rate, the lowest of his career and that of course helped drive the best contact rate he’s ever had as well. Can you be optimistic on Mr. Dependable? I think so.

There was a stretch of five consecutive outfielders for me from the 4th-8th rounds and of my first eight picks, six were outfielders. I think the outfield offers plenty of options, but not that many upper echelon options. It seems very top heavy with a lot of merely one or two category guys going in the mid and late rounds. I’m happy to go early and often to the outfield to nail down the batting numbers I want.

Despite Evan Longoria playing in 160 and 162 games in 2013-14 respectively, I thought it wise to grab another third baseman. Pablo Sandoval in Boston could prove to be a very nice thing, so having him as my CI or even primary 3B is great in ninth round. The Panda struggled last season against southpaws, but given his switch-hitting ability plus the Green Monster in left field, those struggles could be behind him. His frequent fly balls to left — 42% fly ball rate against left-handed pitchers last year versus a 34.3% FB% against right-handed pitchers — may hit the wall for doubles rather than being caught for outs.

I was happy to support Troy Tulowitzki with my Jhonny Peralta pick. Grabbing Peralta in the 15th brought a smile to my face. If — or when — Tulo hits the DL, I can slot Peralta in as my starting SS and find a MI on the waiver wire. I did not draft a pitcher until the 10th round, but when I finally did, again I went with Trevor Rosenthal as my first thrower off the board. It started a personal run of grabbing five consecutive pitchers where I took James Shields, Glen Perkins, Phil Hughes and Hyun-Jin Ryu with my 11-14 round picks. Starting pitching is incredibly deep, and to be honest I probably could have waited even longer to create my rotation. Picking up Cliff Lee in the 18th round could be the sneakiest pick of my draft.

It was intentional to wait so long on my first baseman, despite my EBEC plan. After Jonathan Burian blasted a 12-gauge sized hold in my plan of waiting to grab Brandon Moss when he nabbed Moss from me in the 18th, I waited another round and picked up Justin Morneau. As relatively shallow as I think the outfield is, first base is crazy deep. It always is, but this year it is loaded. You can find a worthy first baseman late so long as you get your other bats early.

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Picking up my second baseman late wasn’t on purpose, but getting Martin Prado — a career .291 hitter with double digit home run power — isn’t too bad. Do I love him? No, but I like him enough in the 20th round.

The EBEC plan shines in the last two rounds where I finally pulled the trigger on my catchers. Chris Iannetta, despite a poor AVG can get on base and hits in a great offense, albeit at the bottom of the lineup. Dioner Navarro isn’t as exciting as Iannetta (and Iannetta is about as exciting as a getting dental work done) but he hits in another strong lineup.

I liked my hitters quite a bit, no surprise there, but I wasn’t too high on my pitchers, thinking I’d be weak there. The projections seem to disagree. (Click below to embiggen)

MDA

Where my offense ranks a disappointing fifth, my pitching staff that I largely cobbled together with mid and late round picks rated as the third highest. My overall team ended up projecting tied for second best, but I think it overrates my pitchers and underrates my bats. I think I would be a little light on steals and that is what pushes my offensive projection down.  Regardless, I am more than happy to see how this draft played out.





You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter, @davidwiers.

37 Comments
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Isaac Thorn
11 years ago

Looks promising. Catcher is kind of like the pre-Jimmy Graham/Gronk/Antonio Gates TE position in NFL drafts in that people often reached high for TEs who didn’t perform much better than the middle of the pack guys who would have been available many rounds later.

DrBGiantsfan
11 years ago

Wow! You are putting a lot of faith in Tulo and CarGo staying healthy!

AJ
11 years ago
Reply to  DrBGiantsfan

I disagree- if there’s anywhere he has depth it’s at OF and SS. And 300 AB from either of those guys is usually > 500 AB from a lot of others. The fact that he ended up with CarGo, Tulo, Puig & Longo on the same roster led me to believe he got a couple bargains.

DrBGiantsfan
11 years ago
Reply to  AJ

I could see drafting either Tulo or GarGo, but drafting both is asking for trouble, IMO.

Jay29Member since 2025
11 years ago
Reply to  AJ

Not many people win fantasy leagues by playing it safe.

GFuzz
11 years ago
Reply to  AJ

What’s the bench size and DL rule in this league? In my league, having to stash too many “can’t drop” injured players can wreak havoc on flexibility, ability to grab rookies, etc.

BenFranklin17
11 years ago
Reply to  AJ

using “cant-drop” lists is really stupid

Daniel Schwartz
11 years ago

This is the most unexciting good team i’ve ever seen.

mymaus
11 years ago

Interesting results for your strategy. Where and how can I get the analysis from the graphic near the bottom of the article?

cs3
11 years ago

Tulo, Cargo, Longoria, Pablo, Morneau… you have no concerns about injury?

Josiah
11 years ago

By dependent, do you mean dependable? Because being dependent is not something there should be an award for.

powow
11 years ago

I see you were excited to get Cliff Lee. You seem higher on him than most people. Care to elaborate? This isn’t meant as an insult. Just wondering if you have heard something that I haven’t.

powow
11 years ago
Reply to  David Wiers

Out of curiosity. What would dollar value would you value him in an ottoneu 5×5?

Master Live 013Member since 2023
11 years ago

David, which software did you used to analyze your team/draft?

Matt
11 years ago

Really like your team overall. This team should compete for a top spot, with reasonable health and all those usual caveats.

Best pick: Hyun Jin-Ryu in round 14.

Worst pick: Evan Longoria in Round 3.

Cason Jolette
11 years ago

Was Bender experimenting with a new strategy?

majnun
11 years ago
Reply to  dude

I predict literally no one clicks that link

the dude
11 years ago
Reply to  majnun

its not a virus. shows you a good draft results for adp.

dennisshumar
11 years ago

Can someone please tell me why everyone in the fantasy community has a big D**% for puig? I don’t see any upside where hes getting drafted. He hits way to many ground balls and makes little contact to be able to put up big number. Yes he will score and will have more rbis this year, but I don’t see where he has upside. Also Freeman is going way too early as well. 290 20 home runs and good counting stats are great, but again I don’t see the difference between him and an Agon or a David Ortiz (1st base in Yahoo).

the dude
11 years ago
Reply to  dennisshumar

hype. talked about.

Donkey
11 years ago

This team would have been GOLD in 2010. No upside picks here with a lot of injury risk. On a positive note, there is A LOT of trade bait here.

the dude
11 years ago
Reply to  Donkey

cargo undraftable until like the 15th

Draft Monkey
11 years ago

I have many disagreements with your mock, but I appreciate you posting your results. You’ve taken on mountains of risk, too much for my tastes. I thought Puig, Longoria, and Calhoun were taken over better players at their respective slots. I would’ve considered Edwin,Bautista, or even Rizzo over Tulo in the first, simply because position scarcity only works if the guy can play. Ditto for Cargo being fragile, and unreliable. What is the fascination with Puig…I just don’t get it. I haven’t seen this much myopia over a player since the heydays of Ichiro.

Jebediah Springfield
11 years ago

A noble spirit embiggens the smallest man.

moosh
11 years ago

I’ll try to keep it positive. Catchers were your best drafted position.

yahmule
11 years ago

The lack of speed really jumps out. Nobody in that lineup is likely to steal 20 bases and your three middle infielders might not collect five between them.