2B Rankings Using ZiPS ROS
The folks at Baseball Think Factory are kind enough to supply Fangraphs with projected ZiPS values for each player covering the rest of the season. These values take the player’s preseason projection and how they have produced so far in 2012 and then estimate the player’s stats for the rest of the season.
I used Zach Sander’s formula to rank only 2B for the rest of the season.using z-scores. Here are the rest of season values for 2B order by their current z-score and some thoughts on the rankings:
Name | AVG | Runs | HRs | RBIs | SB | Z-Score |
Robinson Cano | 0.299 | 72 | 18 | 76 | 5 | 7.3 |
Ian Kinsler | 0.273 | 77 | 18 | 56 | 19 | 4.9 |
Michael Cuddyer | 0.287 | 62 | 16 | 66 | 8 | 4.6 |
Dustin Pedroia | 0.296 | 69 | 14 | 56 | 15 | 4.5 |
Dan Uggla | 0.252 | 67 | 22 | 65 | 1 | 4.4 |
Brandon Phillips | 0.276 | 66 | 13 | 60 | 12 | 3.4 |
Ben Zobrist | 0.258 | 65 | 15 | 61 | 12 | 2.8 |
Michael Young | 0.290 | 55 | 11 | 60 | 5 | 2.6 |
Jason Kipnis | 0.260 | 66 | 14 | 56 | 12 | 2.4 |
Jose Altuve | 0.295 | 63 | 8 | 51 | 25 | 2.3 |
Neil Walker | 0.268 | 57 | 11 | 65 | 7 | 2.1 |
Howie Kendrick | 0.274 | 58 | 12 | 52 | 11 | 1.6 |
Aaron Hill | 0.262 | 53 | 14 | 54 | 9 | 1.1 |
Allen Craig | 0.286 | 42 | 13 | 54 | 3 | 1.1 |
Kelly Johnson | 0.244 | 59 | 17 | 48 | 10 | 0.9 |
Danny Espinosa | 0.226 | 61 | 15 | 51 | 13 | -0.1 |
Dustin Ackley | 0.259 | 61 | 10 | 41 | 8 | -0.2 |
Rickie Weeks | 0.242 | 56 | 15 | 40 | 8 | -0.6 |
Johnny Giavotella | 0.270 | 57 | 5 | 44 | 9 | -0.7 |
Omar Infante | 0.290 | 44 | 7 | 41 | 4 | -0.7 |
Mike Aviles | 0.271 | 44 | 9 | 43 | 10 | -1.1 |
Daniel Murphy | 0.297 | 34 | 5 | 42 | 4 | -1.6 |
Gordon Beckham | 0.247 | 52 | 9 | 41 | 4 | -1.8 |
Darwin Barney | 0.271 | 55 | 2 | 36 | 7 | -2.0 |
Ryan Roberts | 0.245 | 46 | 10 | 41 | 11 | -2.3 |
Steve Lombardozzi | 0.269 | 49 | 4 | 35 | 13 | -2.4 |
Trevor Plouffe | 0.236 | 48 | 11 | 38 | 3 | -2.6 |
Jemile Weeks | 0.257 | 53 | 4 | 34 | 19 | -2.7 |
Sean Rodriguez | 0.232 | 46 | 10 | 38 | 8 | -3.1 |
Mark Ellis | 0.257 | 44 | 5 | 33 | 9 | -3.4 |
Ruben Tejada | 0.264 | 44 | 2 | 35 | 6 | -3.5 |
Orlando Hudson | 0.243 | 48 | 6 | 34 | 9 | -3.5 |
Maicer Izturis | 0.271 | 35 | 3 | 30 | 9 | -4.2 |
Ryan Raburn | 0.238 | 35 | 9 | 34 | 2 | -4.4 |
Alexi Casilla | 0.260 | 39 | 2 | 23 | 12 | -5.2 |
Thoughts
– Cano is the top rated 2B by a bit. Most of his extra value, compared to the 2B ranked after him, is from the extra RBIs he looks to produce.
– Kinsler, Cuddyer, Pedroia and Uggla are grouped closely together. A team could look at moving one of these 4 for one of the others depending on a team’s need. An example would be trading Pedroia for Uggla if a team is in need of a little extra power (HR and RBIs) and can take a hit in AVG and SBs.
– Jose Altuve looks to be the 2B that has moved up the most since the beginning of the season.
– Kelly Johnson and Rickie Weeks see their value depressed due to their low AVG. If a team needs power and can handle the low AVG, they are nice options.
– Ryan Roberts looks like he remembered who he was and is now back to being irrelevant in fantasy baseball.
– Jemile Weeks, even though ranked low, will be an option for a team desperate for SBs.
– I am a little surprised to see Mark Ellis so low. He has been a nice source of Runs this season.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
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