2018 Too Early Mock Drafts ADP

by
October 4, 2017

For the last three years I have run an industry mock draft during the month of September. It has been a fun exercise that suits three purposes:

  1. It is an early look at what the industry feels about the next season, especially because most people don’t have ranks or projections prepared to rely on.
  2. September can be a hard month to come up with things to talk/write about.
  3. I am a masochist.

This year I decided to turn it up a notch. I started four separate mock drafts including 57 different analysts. Here are the mock draft (you can click the title of the of each table to go to each mock) and analysts involved:

Mock #1
Pick Analyst Site
1 Michael Rathburn Rotowire
2 Joel Henard So Called Fantasy Experts
3 Steve Rapern Fighting Chance Fantasy
4 Derek Van Riper Rotowire
5 Mike Maher Fantrax
6 Bubba Entrikin The Sports Degens
7 Jimi Couch Managers
8 Doug Thorburn Baseballholics Anonymous
9 Darius Austin Friends with Fantasy Benefits
10 Jason Johnson Fantasy Pros
11 Eli Rozenfeld DFS Masters
12 Dave Duncan Bloop Curve
14 Justin Mason Friends with Fantasy Benefits/Fangraphs
14 Justin Klein Rotoballer
15 Jason Consoli Fantasy 6th Man

 

Mock #2
Pick Analyst Site
1 Michael Waterloo Roto Experts
2 Walter McMichael Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
3 Chuck Anderson Friends with Fantasy Benefits
4 Andrea LaMont Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
5 Ray Flowers Guru Elite
6 Jeff Zimmerman Rotographs
7 Rob Silver 2016 NFBC Champion
8 Steve Gardner USA Today
9 Tim Heaney Rotowire
10 Scott Bogman In This League
11 Ben Brenneis Friends with Fantasy Benefits
12 Seth Klein Razzball
13 Jusin Mason Friends with Fantasy Benefits/Fangraphs
14 Ralph Lifshitz Razzball
15 Brant Chesser Baseball HQ

 

Mock #3
Pick Analyst Site
1 Matt Thompson Friends with Fantasy Benefits
2 BatFlipCrazy BatFlipCrazy
3 Ryan Hallam Fighting Chance Fantasy
4 Paul Martin Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
5 Dan Strafford Fan Vice DFS
6 Justin Mason Friends with Fantasy Benefits/Rotographs
7 Walter Kuberski MLB.com
8 Ray Kuhn Friends with Fantasy Benefits
9 Greg Jewett FanRag Sports
10 Al Melchior FanRag Sports
11 Doug Dennis Baseball HQ
12 Andrew Perpetua Rotographs
13 Donny Miller Friends with Fantasy Benefits
14 Ryan Bloomfield Baseball HQ
15 Keith Farnsworth Fan Front Office

 

Mock #4
Pick Analyst Site
1 Justin Mason Friends with Fantasy Benefits/Rotographs
2 Brent Hershey Baseball HQ
3 Sammy Reid Baseballholics Anonymous
4 Howard Bender Fantasy Alarm
5 Lawr Michaels Mastersball
6 Christopher Welsh In This League
7 Joseph Pytleski Baseball HQ
8 Phillip Evans Fan Front Office
9 Lance Brozdowski Big Three Sports
10 Tim McLeod Prospect361
11 Alex Chamberlain Rotographs
12 Clay Link Rotowire
13 Andrew Dewhirst Friends with Fantasy Benefits
14 Jim Bay Friends with Fantasy Benefits
15 George Bissell Baseball Prospectus

All four mock drafts are standard 5×5 Roto 15-team two catcher leagues with three bench slots. The following is a compiling of the results as of Wednesday 1pm EST.

Too Early Mock Draft ADP
Rank First Last Name Mock 1 Mock 2 Mock 3 Mock 4 Avg Low Pick High Pick Max-Min
1 Mike Trout 1 1 1 1 1.00 1 1 0
2 Jose Altuve 2 2 2 2 2.00 2 2 0
3 Paul Goldschmidt 3 4 6 4 4.25 3 6 3
4 Nolan Arenado 6 5 3 5 4.75 3 6 3
5 Trea Turner 4 9 7 3 5.75 3 9 6
6 Charlie Blackmon 7 3 8 6 6.00 3 8 5
7 Bryce Harper 5 6 5 8 6.00 5 8 3
8 Clayton Kershaw 8 11 4 11 8.50 4 11 7
9 Joey Votto 12 7 10 7 9.00 7 12 5
10 Mookie Betts 10 8 13 10 10.25 8 13 5
11 Giancarlo Stanton 9 10 9 19 11.75 9 19 10
12 Max Scherzer 14 13 12 12 12.75 12 14 2
13 Carlos Correa 17 17 11 9 13.50 9 17 8
14 Chris Sale 15 15 15 13 14.50 13 15 2
15 Manny Machado 11 12 14 24 15.25 11 24 13
16 Kris Bryant 13 16 18 17 16.00 13 18 5
17 Anthony Rizzo 22 14 17 14 16.75 14 22 8
18 Freddie Freeman 20 22 16 22 20.00 16 22 6
19 Corey Kluber 19 19 27 15 20.00 15 27 12
20 Josh Donaldson 18 23 20 20 20.25 18 23 5
21 Jose Ramirez 28 18 22 18 21.50 18 28 10
22 Francisco Lindor 23 27 19 21 22.50 19 27 8
23 Aaron Judge 16 21 26 28 22.75 16 28 12
24 J.D. Martinez 26 20 21 26 23.25 20 26 6
25 Dee Gordon 34 24 25 16 24.75 16 34 18
26 Cody Bellinger 25 31 24 25 26.25 24 31 7
27 George Springer 30 30 23 27 27.50 23 30 7
28 Gary Sanchez 27 29 29 30 28.75 27 30 3
29 Corey Seager 32 26 28 29 28.75 26 32 6
30 Madison Bumgarner 24 25 38 31 29.50 24 38 14
31 Stephen Strasburg 21 34 44 32 32.75 21 44 23
32 Noah Syndergaard 37 32 33 36 34.50 32 37 5
33 Jose Abreu 29 35 35 49 37.00 29 49 20
34 Jacob DeGrom 39 40 37 33 37.25 33 40 7
35 Starling Marte 35 43 36 35 37.25 35 43 8
36 Luis Severino 36 33 43 37 37.25 33 43 10
37 Justin Upton 31 44 39 38 38.00 31 44 13
38 Rhys Hoskins 33 28 51 42 38.50 28 51 23
39 Carlos Carrasco 45 39 48 23 38.75 23 48 25
40 Edwin Encarnacion 38 48 31 41 39.50 31 48 17
41 Daniel Murphy 41 41 45 39 41.50 39 45 6
42 Anthony Rendon 43 47 40 45 43.75 40 47 7
43 Elvis Andrus 62 51 32 46 47.75 32 62 30
44 Brian Dozier 49 52 41 50 48.00 41 52 11
45 Yu Darvish 53 38 52 55 49.50 38 55 17
46 Marcell Ozuna 42 45 50 62 49.75 42 62 20
47 Jonathan Schoop 59 64 42 34 49.75 34 64 30
48 Nelson Cruz 44 49 56 52 50.25 44 56 12
49 Wil Myers 46 69 34 53 50.50 34 69 35
50 Jean Segura 66 53 46 43 52.00 43 66 23
51 Miguel Sano 52 71 30 59 53.00 30 71 41
52 Zack Greinke 64 37 47 67 53.75 37 67 30
53 Kenley Jansen 47 42 66 60 53.75 42 66 24
54 Willson Contreras 54 62 49 51 54.00 49 62 13
55 Carlos Martinez 60 60 58 48 56.50 48 60 12
56 Andrew Benintendi 40 72 80 40 58.00 40 80 40
57 Justin Verlander 55 54 67 57 58.25 54 67 13
58 Robbie Ray 63 50 55 70 59.50 50 70 20
59 Billy Hamilton 48 59 64 68 59.75 48 68 20
60 Ryan Braun 78 36 75 54 60.75 36 78 42
61 Chris Archer 50 57 70 74 62.75 50 74 24
62 Robinson Cano 68 65 63 56 63.00 56 68 12
63 Buster Posey 65 78 65 44 63.00 44 78 34
64 Byron Buxton 67 73 53 61 63.50 53 73 20
65 Christian Yelich 58 56 79 63 64.00 56 79 23
66 Whit Merrifield 72 70 54 66 65.50 54 72 18
67 A.J. Pollock 76 66 57 64 65.75 57 76 19
68 Alex Bregman 51 75 69 81 69.00 51 81 30
69 Eric Hosmer 61 80 59 76 69.00 59 80 21
70 Craig Kimbrel 57 46 94 85 70.50 46 94 48
71 Yoenis Cespedes 69 68 77 72 71.50 68 77 9
72 Jake Arrieta 75 63 61 88 71.75 61 88 27
73 Justin Turner 56 90 72 69 71.75 56 90 34
74 James Paxton 88 61 62 83 73.50 61 88 27
75 Tommy Pham 79 84 60 78 75.25 60 84 24
76 Miguel Cabrera 70 95 82 58 76.25 58 95 37
77 Andrew McCutchen 83 74 73 82 78.00 73 83 10
78 Eduardo Nunez 112 55 76 71 78.50 55 112 57
79 Khris Davis 82 86 89 65 80.50 65 89 24
80 Domingo Santana 85 89 71 84 82.25 71 89 18
81 Dallas Keuchel 81 83 81 94 84.75 81 94 13
82 Jake Lamb 71 87 85 98 85.25 71 98 27
83 Kyle Seager 105 79 68 89 85.25 68 105 37
84 Lorenzo Cain 107 77 90 80 88.50 77 107 30
85 Jose Quintana 87 82 108 77 88.50 77 108 31
86 Xander Bogaerts 98 58 103 96 88.75 58 103 45
87 Aroldis Chapman 73 99 86 97 88.75 73 99 26
88 Mike Moustakas 74 121 78 91 91.00 74 121 47
89 Alex Wood 90 91 100 90 92.75 90 100 10
90 Matt Olson 84 67 110 113 93.50 67 113 46
91 Gregory Polanco 111 103 88 75 94.25 75 111 36
92 Aaron Nola 102 76 99 101 94.50 76 102 26
93 Joey Gallo 86 102 116 87 97.75 86 116 30
94 J.T. Realmuto 118 88 117 73 99.00 73 118 45
95 Justin Smoak 104 97 97 100 99.50 97 104 7
96 Jon Lester 89 100 165 47 100.25 47 165 118
97 Yoan Moncada 93 93 113 106 101.25 93 113 20
98 Gerrit Cole 119 108 91 92 102.50 91 119 28
99 Didi Gregorius 91 132 83 104 102.50 83 132 49
100 Travis Shaw 94 133 105 79 102.75 79 133 54
101 Rougned Odor 80 104 115 118 104.25 80 118 38
102 Rafael Devers 110 101 103 104.67 101 110 9
103 Zack Godley 127 81 92 121 105.25 81 127 46
104 Carlos Santana 133 110 93 86 105.50 86 133 47
105 Luke Weaver 92 123 102 107 106.00 92 123 31
106 Adrian Beltre 129 92 87 117 106.25 87 129 42
107 Matt Carpenter 97 116 95 119 106.75 95 119 24
108 Ender Inciarte 77 117 134 109.33 77 134 57
109 Adam Jones 101 101 104 137 110.75 101 137 36
110 DJ LeMahieu 134 98 74 142 112.00 74 142 68
111 Danny Salazar 95 96 132 125 112.00 95 132 37
112 Salvador Perez 136 106 114 93 112.25 93 136 43
113 Michael Conforto 109 131 96 115 112.75 96 131 35
114 Ken Giles 113 85 107 148 113.25 85 148 63
115 Ian Desmond 96 128 112 120 114.00 96 128 32
116 Chris Taylor 114 114 84 144 114.00 84 144 60
117 Jose Berrios 108 94 121 136 114.75 94 136 42
118 Marcus Stroman 103 105 126 128 115.50 103 128 25
119 Luis Castillo 122 112 117.00 112 122 10
120 Masahiro Tanaka 120 122 128 99 117.25 99 128 29
121 Corey Knebel 130 113 129 109 120.25 109 130 21
122 Adam Eaton 122 109 130 123 121.00 109 130 21
123 Johnny Cueto 99 143 123 121.67 99 143 44
124 Jonathan Lucroy 131 118 118 122.33 118 131 13
125 Sonny Gray 155 106 110 123.67 106 155 49
126 Wade Davis 128 111 120 143 125.50 111 143 32
127 Rich Hill 132 127 119 127 126.25 119 132 13
128 Danny Duffy 106 158 98 146 127.00 98 158 60
129 Steven Souza 124 131 127.50 124 131 7
130 Javier Baez 126 135 124 133 129.50 124 135 11
131 Kevin Kiermaier 115 129 142 132 129.50 115 142 27
132 Edwin Diaz 144 120 145 111 130.00 111 145 34
133 Roberto Osuna 117 119 138 149 130.75 117 149 32
134 Kyle Hendricks 138 151 141 95 131.25 95 151 56
135 Michael Fulmer 142 150 109 129 132.50 109 150 41
136 Ryan Zimmerman 147 149 135 108 134.75 108 149 41
137 Ian Happ 116 144 150 130 135.00 116 150 34
138 Evan Longoria 143 127 135.00 127 143 16
139 Zach Britton 100 148 146 156 137.50 100 156 56
140 David Price 125 126 161 140 138.00 125 161 36
141 Shin-Soo Choo 139 139.00 139 139 0
142 Odubel Herrera 123 147 170 122 140.50 122 170 48
143 Brett Gardner 173 112 137 140.67 112 173 61
144 Jon Gray 148 107 159 151 141.25 107 159 52
145 Carlos Gonzalez 158 133 134 141.67 133 158 25
146 Ronald Acuna 175 137 151 105 142.00 105 175 70
147 Aaron Altherr 148 138 143.00 138 148 10
148 Cole Hamels 143 143.00 143 143 0
149 Eugenio Suarez 150 140 145.00 140 150 10
150 Scooter Gennett 180 111 145.50 111 180 69
151 Jay Bruce 177 125 136 146.00 125 177 52
152 Nick Castellanos 149 170 125 141 146.25 125 170 45
153 Tim Anderson 147 147.00 147 147 0
154 Kyle Schwarber 135 139 190 126 147.50 126 190 64
155 Yasiel Puig 183 115 154 150.67 115 183 68
156 Trevor Story 160 142 155 147 151.00 142 160 18
157 Lance McCullers 137 159 164 145 151.25 137 164 27
158 Eddie Rosario 154 149 151.50 149 154 5
159 Justin Bour 184 130 144 152.67 130 184 54
160 Brad Zimmer 164 146 152 150 153.00 146 164 18
161 Eric Thames 121 156 184 153.67 121 184 63
162 Cody Allen 139 165 158 153 153.75 139 165 26
163 Andrelton Simmons 140 157 175 157.33 140 175 35
164 Zack Cozart 160 156 158.00 156 160 4
165 Trevor Bauer 141 177 159.00 141 177 36
166 Brad Hand 160 160.00 160 160 0
167 Alex Colome 145 163 174 160.67 145 174 29
168 Kevin Gausman 156 175 152 161.00 152 175 23
169 Adam Duvall 185 172 163 131 162.75 131 185 54
170 Drew Pomeranz 140 162 195 154 162.75 140 195 55
171 Ozzie Albies 178 172 139 163.00 139 178 39
172 Tanner Roark 164 164.00 164 164 0
173 Raisel Iglesias 162 179 153 164.67 153 179 26
174 Jeff Samardzija 157 152 186 165.00 152 186 34
175 Avisail Garcia 174 169 155 166.00 155 174 19
176 Gio Gonzalez 166 166.00 166 166 0
177 Felipe Rivero 153 179 166.00 153 179 26
178 Ian Kinsler 167 167.00 167 167 0
179 Alex Reyes 168 168.00 168 168 0
180 Chris Davis 159 178 168.50 159 178 19
181 Chris Owings 169 169.00 169 169 0
182 Jameson Taillon 204 135 169.50 135 204 69
183 Jimmy Nelson 167 226 116 169.67 116 226 110
184 Jeurys Familia 178 162 170.00 162 178 16
185 Mark Melancon 155 185 170.00 155 185 30
186 Mark Trumbo 170 170.00 170 170 0
187 Josh Bell 165 166 180 170.33 165 180 15
188 Andrew Miller 151 169 193 171.00 151 193 42
189 Greg Holland 146 177 191 171.33 146 191 45
190 Trey Mancini 171 173 172.00 171 173 2
191 Dylan Bundy 152 171 194 172.33 152 194 42
192 Manuel Margot 136 211 173.50 136 211 75
193 Corey Dickerson 154 168 203 175.00 154 203 49
194 Lance Lynn 176 176.00 176 176 0
195 Jose Peraza 176 176.00 176 176 0
196 Mitch Haniger 182 171 176.50 171 182 11
197 Wilson Ramos 172 173 189 178.00 172 189 17
198 Yadier Molina 181 181.00 181 181 0
199 Nick Williams 179 183 181.00 179 183 4
200 Jose Martinez 182 182.00 182 182 0
201 Matt Kemp 181 180 187 182.67 180 187 7
202 Brad Peacock 168 201 184.50 168 201 33
203 Jackie Bradley 157 213 185.00 157 213 56
204 Marwin Gonzalez 182 188 185.00 182 188 6
205 Eduardo Escobar 186 186.00 186 186 0
206 Aaron Sanchez 161 215 188.00 161 215 54
207 Nomar Mazara 161 216 188.50 161 216 55
208 Cesar Hernandez 192 192.00 192 192 0
209 Greg Bird 187 199 193.00 187 199 12
210 Michael Brantley 196 196.00 196 196 0
211 Evan Gattis 197 197.00 197 197 0
212 Charlie Morton 175 219 197.00 175 219 44
213 Kenta Maeda 174 221 197.50 174 221 47
214 Paul DeJong 176 220 198.00 176 220 44
215 Yasmani Grandal 198 198.00 198 198 0
216 Arodys Vizcaino 200 200.00 200 200 0
217 Jason Kipnis 202 202.00 202 202 0
218 Dansby Swanson 166 243 204.50 166 243 77
219 Keon Broxton 205 205.00 205 205 0
220 Yasmany Tomas 206 206.00 206 206 0
221 Delino DeShields 207 207.00 207 207 0
222 Ervin Santana 153 263 208.00 153 263 110
223 Julio Teheran 208 208.00 208 208 0
224 Chase Anderson 209 209.00 209 209 0
225 Orlando Arcia 210 210.00 210 210 0
226 Sean Doolittle 212 212.00 212 212 0
227 Carlos Rodon 214 214.00 214 214 0
228 Dinelson Lamet 183 251 217.00 183 251 68
229 David Peralta 217 217.00 217 217 0
230 Mike Zunino 218 218.00 218 218 0
231 Josh Harrison 222 222.00 222 222 0
232 Dominic Smith 223 223.00 223 223 0
233 Sean Manaea 224 224.00 224 224 0
234 Jonathan Villar 225 225.00 225 225 0
235 Hanley Ramirez 227 227.00 227 227 0
236 Ryon Healy 228 228.00 228 228 0
237 Aaron Hicks 229 229.00 229 229 0
238 Amed Rosario 230 230.00 230 230 0
239 Derek Fisher 231 231.00 231 231 0
240 Tim Beckham 232 232.00 232 232 0
241 Francisco Mejia 233 233.00 233 233 0
242 Blake Parker 234 234.00 234 234 0
243 Welington Castillo 235 235.00 235 235 0
244 Joc Pederson 236 236.00 236 236 0
245 Marcus Semien 237 237.00 237 237 0
246 Kelvin Herrera 238 238.00 238 238 0
247 Maikel Franco 239 239.00 239 239 0
248 Juan Nicasio 240 240.00 240 240 0
249 Michael Clevinger 241 241.00 241 241 0
250 Jorge Polanco 242 242.00 242 242 0
251 Blake Treinen 244 244.00 244 244 0
252 Eduardo Rodriguez 245 245.00 245 245 0
253 Brian McCann 246 246.00 246 246 0
254 Patrick Corbin 247 247.00 247 247 0
255 A.J. Ramos 248 248.00 248 248 0
256 Blake Snell 249 249.00 249 249 0
257 Garrett Richards 250 250.00 250 250 0
258 Dellin Betances 252 252.00 252 252 0
259 Dustin Pedroia 253 253.00 253 253 0
260 Steven Matz 254 254.00 254 254 0
261 Cameron Maybin 255 255.00 255 255 0
262 Lewis Brinson 256 256.00 256 256 0
263 Hunter Renfroe 257 257.00 257 257 0
264 David Robertson 258 258.00 258 258 0
265 Dexter Fowler 259 259.00 259 259 0
266 Michael Wacha 260 260.00 260 260 0
267 Hector Neris 261 261.00 261 261 0
268 Archie Bradley 262 262.00 262 262 0
269 Scott Schebler 264 264.00 264 264 0
270 Matt Chapman 265 265.00 265 265 0
271 Taijuan Walker 266 266.00 266 266 0





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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zachary
7 years ago

Anyone else not seeing the draft info?

9
Mike DMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  zachary

Individual yes (as mentioned you can click on the title of each one) but not the accumulation of the four.

1