2017 Ottoneu FGPts Rankings: OF
Two weeks ago we kicked off our ottoneu FanGraphs points league rankings. This year the rankings will include values from myself, Joe Douglas, and Chad Young. We are presenting our individual dollar values, the average of all three individuals, plus the ranking of that average. In addition the tables below include ottoneu eligibility (5 games started/10 games played in the prior year). Players are ranked at their most valuable position, and the hierarchy we are using is C/SS/2B/3B/OF/1B (with 3B and OF being a coin toss in terms of replacement level, we chose to include 3B/OF eligibles at 3B).
Prior Rankings: C/1B/3B, 2B/SS
Key:
Split – Difference from highest to lowest $ value
Otto.– Average price across Ottoneu FGpts leagues
AVG. – Average $ value from the four of us
(+/-) – Difference between Ottoneu average price and our average $ value
Ottoneu FGPts- OF
| Rnk | Name | Team | Elig | Justin | Joe | Chad | Split | Otto | AVG | (+/-) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | Angels | OF | $70 | $68 | $70 | $2 | $70 | $69 | $0 |
| 2 | Bryce Harper | Nationals | OF | $47 | $48 | $53 | $6 | $53 | $49 | ($3) |
| 3 | Mookie Betts | Red Sox | OF | $46 | $48 | $43 | $5 | $31 | $46 | $15 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | Marlins | OF | $40 | $42 | $49 | $9 | $51 | $44 | ($7) |
| 5 | Andrew McCutchen | Pirates | OF | $36 | $30 | $34 | $6 | $45 | $33 | ($11) |
| 6 | Jose Bautista | Blue Jays | OF | $32 | $31 | $32 | $1 | $37 | $32 | ($5) |
| 7 | Carlos Gonzalez | Rockies | OF | $30 | $27 | $34 | $7 | $30 | $30 | $1 |
| 8 | George Springer | Astros | OF | $29 | $32 | $28 | $4 | $23 | $30 | $7 |
| 9 | Charlie Blackmon | Rockies | OF | $30 | $28 | $28 | $2 | $17 | $29 | $12 |
| 10 | Ryan Braun | Brewers | OF | $29 | $27 | $28 | $2 | $30 | $28 | ($2) |
| 10 | J.D. Martinez | Tigers | OF | $28 | $33 | $23 | $10 | $19 | $28 | $9 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | Marlins | OF | $26 | $30 | $28 | $4 | $20 | $28 | $8 |
| 13 | Nelson Cruz | Mariners | OF | $28 | $28 | $26 | $2 | $24 | $27 | $4 |
| 14 | Kyle Schwarber | Cubs | Util | $25 | $25 | $20 | $5 | $17 | $23 | $6 |
| 15 | A.J. Pollock | Diamondbacks | OF | $23 | $20 | $21 | $3 | $16 | $21 | $5 |
| 16 | Yoenis Cespedes | Mets | OF | $22 | $21 | $19 | $3 | $26 | $21 | ($5) |
| 17 | Justin Upton | Tigers | OF | $19 | $20 | $18 | $2 | $25 | $19 | ($6) |
| 18 | Matt Holliday | Yankees | 1B/OF | $18 | $18 | $20 | $2 | $13 | $19 | $6 |
| 19 | Starling Marte | Pirates | OF | $18 | $18 | $18 | $0 | $19 | $18 | ($1) |
| 20 | Ian Desmond | Rockies | OF | $19 | $14 | $19 | $5 | $15 | $17 | $2 |
| 20 | Mark Trumbo | Orioles | OF | $18 | $15 | $19 | $4 | $14 | $17 | $4 |
| 22 | Wil Myers | Padres | 1B/OF | $17 | $17 | $17 | $0 | $17 | $17 | $0 |
| 22 | Yasiel Puig | Dodgers | OF | $17 | $14 | $20 | $6 | $23 | $17 | ($6) |
| 24 | Khris Davis | Athletics | OF | $16 | $17 | $15 | $2 | $12 | $16 | $4 |
| 25 | Shin-Soo Choo | Rangers | OF | $16 | $12 | $18 | $6 | $15 | $15 | $0 |
| 25 | Adam Eaton | Nationals | OF | $15 | $16 | $15 | $1 | $14 | $15 | $2 |
| 25 | Adam Jones | Orioles | 1B | $15 | $15 | $16 | $1 | $25 | $15 | ($10) |
| 25 | Dexter Fowler | Cardinals | OF | $14 | $18 | $14 | $4 | $13 | $15 | $3 |
| 29 | Kendrys Morales | Blue Jays | 1B/OF | $14 | $15 | $15 | $1 | $6 | $15 | $8 |
| 30 | Matt Kemp | Braves | OF | $13 | $14 | $13 | $1 | $15 | $13 | ($2) |
| 30 | Gregory Polanco | Pirates | OF | $10 | $16 | $14 | $6 | $14 | $13 | ($1) |
| 32 | Joc Pederson | Dodgers | OF | $14 | $11 | $14 | $3 | $12 | $13 | $1 |
| 33 | Kole Calhoun | Angels | OF | $11 | $14 | $12 | $3 | $13 | $12 | $0 |
| 34 | Stephen Piscotty | Cardinals | OF | $11 | $15 | $10 | $5 | $10 | $12 | $2 |
| 35 | Andrew Benintendi | Red Sox | OF | $13 | $14 | $8 | $6 | $8 | $12 | $4 |
| 35 | Melky Cabrera | White Sox | OF | $10 | $13 | $12 | $3 | $8 | $12 | $4 |
| 37 | Hunter Pence | Giants | OF | $8 | $14 | $11 | $6 | $16 | $11 | ($5) |
| 38 | David Peralta | Diamondbacks | OF | $11 | $11 | $10 | $1 | $7 | $11 | $3 |
| 38 | Domingo Santana | Brewers | OF | $11 | $10 | $11 | $1 | $8 | $11 | $3 |
| 38 | Curtis Granderson | Mets | OF | $11 | $10 | $11 | $1 | $10 | $11 | $1 |
| 38 | Michael Brantley | Indians | OF | $11 | $6 | $15 | $9 | $16 | $11 | ($5) |
| 38 | Josh Bell | Pirates | 1B/OF | $9 | $12 | $11 | $3 | $5 | $11 | $5 |
| 43 | Marcell Ozuna | Marlins | OF | $8 | $11 | $12 | $4 | $11 | $10 | $0 |
| 44 | Carlos Beltran | Astros | OF | $7 | $12 | $10 | $5 | $5 | $10 | $4 |
| 45 | Lorenzo Cain | Royals | OF | $8 | $8 | $10 | $2 | $10 | $9 | ($1) |
| 46 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | Red Sox | OF | $10 | $10 | $5 | $5 | $9 | $8 | ($1) |
| 46 | Hyun Soo Kim | Orioles | OF | $5 | $9 | $11 | $6 | $5 | $8 | $3 |
| 48 | David Dahl | Rockies | OF | $8 | $10 | $6 | $4 | $7 | $8 | $1 |
| 49 | Seth Smith | Mariners | OF | $4 | $9 | $10 | $6 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
| 50 | Michael Conforto | Mets | OF | $8 | $7 | $6 | $2 | $8 | $7 | ($1) |
| 51 | Josh Reddick | Astros | OF | $4 | $7 | $9 | $5 | $8 | $7 | ($1) |
| 52 | Odubel Herrera | Phillies | OF | $5 | $8 | $6 | $3 | $6 | $6 | $0 |
| 53 | Carlos Gomez | Rangers | OF | $6 | $5 | $6 | $1 | $11 | $6 | ($5) |
| 53 | Jason Heyward | Cubs | OF | $4 | $8 | $5 | $4 | $19 | $6 | ($13) |
| 53 | Nomar Mazara | Rangers | OF | $3 | $8 | $6 | $5 | $8 | $6 | ($2) |
| 56 | Adam Duvall | Reds | OF | $9 | $4 | $3 | $6 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| 56 | Alex Dickerson | Padres | OF | $8 | $4 | $4 | $4 | $4 | $5 | $2 |
| 56 | Yasmany Tomas | Diamondbacks | OF | $6 | $4 | $6 | $2 | $8 | $5 | ($3) |
| 56 | Denard Span | Giants | OF | $3 | $5 | $8 | $5 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| 60 | Jayson Werth | Nationals | OF | $5 | $4 | $6 | $2 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| 60 | Max Kepler | Twins | OF | $5 | $4 | $6 | $2 | $6 | $5 | ($1) |
| 60 | Brandon Moss | Royals | 1B/OF | $3 | $6 | $6 | $3 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| 63 | Jorge Soler | Cubs | OF | $5 | $4 | $5 | $1 | $11 | $5 | ($7) |
| 64 | Kevin Kiermaier | Rays | OF | $5 | $4 | $4 | $1 | $4 | $4 | $0 |
| 65 | Brett Gardner | Yankees | OF | $3 | $3 | $6 | $3 | $10 | $4 | ($6) |
| 66 | Cody Bellinger | Dodgers | 1B/OF | $1 | $10 | $0 | $10 | $3 | $4 | $0 |
| 67 | Michael Saunders | Phillies | OF | $2 | $4 | $4 | $2 | $4 | $3 | ($1) |
| 68 | Randal Grichuk | Cardinals | OF | $3 | $3 | $3 | $0 | $7 | $3 | ($4) |
| 68 | Franklin Gutierrez | Dodgers | OF | $3 | $1 | $5 | $4 | $3 | $3 | $0 |
| 68 | Austin Meadows | Pirates | OF | $1 | $8 | $0 | $8 | $4 | $3 | ($1) |
| 71 | Aaron Judge | Yankees | OF | $3 | $2 | $3 | $1 | $5 | $3 | ($2) |
| 71 | Jay Bruce | Mets | OF | $2 | $3 | $3 | $1 | $11 | $3 | ($9) |
| 73 | Alex Gordon | Royals | OF | $2 | $3 | $2 | $1 | $15 | $2 | ($12) |
| 73 | Lewis Brinson | Brewers | OF | $1 | $6 | $0 | $6 | $5 | $2 | ($3) |
| 73 | Eloy Jimenez | Cubs | OF | $1 | $6 | $0 | $6 | $4 | $2 | ($2) |
| 76 | Ender Inciarte | Braves | OF | $2 | $2 | $2 | $0 | $5 | $2 | ($3) |
| 76 | Scott Schebler | Reds | OF | $1 | $3 | $2 | $2 | $3 | $2 | ($1) |
| 76 | Nick Markakis | Braves | OF | $1 | $3 | $2 | $2 | $6 | $2 | ($4) |
| 79 | Jesse Winker | Reds | OF | $2 | $2 | $1 | $1 | $4 | $2 | ($2) |
| 79 | Corey Dickerson | Rays | OF | $1 | $4 | $0 | $4 | $8 | $2 | ($7) |
| 79 | Matt Joyce | Athletics | OF | $1 | $4 | $0 | $4 | $4 | $2 | ($3) |
| 82 | Christin Stewart | Tigers | OF | $3 | $1 | $0 | $3 | $2 | $1 | ($1) |
| 82 | Victor Robles | Nationals | OF | $1 | $3 | $0 | $3 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 82 | Kyle Lewis | Mariners | OF | $1 | $3 | $0 | $3 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 82 | Corey Ray | Brewers | OF | $1 | $3 | $0 | $3 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 82 | Andre Ethier | Dodgers | Util | $1 | $3 | $0 | $3 | $10 | $1 | ($8) |
| 82 | Hunter Renfroe | Padres | OF | $1 | $3 | $0 | $3 | $5 | $1 | ($3) |
| 88 | Brandon Guyer | Indians | OF | $2 | $1 | $0 | $2 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 88 | Chris Young | Red Sox | OF | $2 | $0 | $1 | $2 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 88 | Manny Margot | Padres | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $4 | $1 | ($3) |
| 88 | Bradley Zimmer | Indians | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $4 | $1 | ($3) |
| 88 | Alex Verdugo | Dodgers | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 88 | Derek Fisher | Astros | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 88 | Andrew Toles | Dodgers | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 88 | Danny Valencia | Mariners | 1B/3B/OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $4 | $1 | ($3) |
| 88 | Byron Buxton | Twins | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $13 | $1 | ($12) |
| 88 | Clint Frazier | Yankees | OF | $1 | $2 | $0 | $2 | $4 | $1 | ($3) |
| 88 | Jacoby Ellsbury | Yankees | OF | $1 | $1 | $1 | $0 | $11 | $1 | ($10) |
| 99 | Josh Hamilton | Rangers | #N/A | $2 | $0 | $0 | $2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 99 | Kyle Tucker | Astros | OF | $1 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $2 | $1 | ($2) |
| 99 | Mitch Haniger | Mariners | OF | $1 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $4 | $1 | ($4) |
| 99 | Jake Bauers | Rays | 1B/OF | $1 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 99 | Raimel Tapia | Rockies | OF | $1 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $4 | $1 | ($4) |
| 105 | Mickey Moniak | Phillies | OF | $0 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 105 | Stephen Cardullo | Rockies | #N/A | $0 | $0 | $1 | $1 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 105 | Steven Moya | Tigers | OF | $0 | $0 | $1 | $1 | $6 | $0 | ($5) |
| 105 | Oswaldo Arcia | Padres | OF | $0 | $0 | $1 | $1 | $4 | $0 | ($4) |
| 99 | Angel Pagan | 0 | OF | $1 | $0 | $1 | $1 | $3 | $1 | ($2) |
| 105 | Nori Aoki | Astros | OF | $0 | $0 | $1 | $1 | $6 | $0 | ($6) |
Observations
- The good news? OF is deep. The bad news? With 810 games to fill you will need to take advantage of that depth to meet the games cap
- Stanton represents one of the larger splits in our values, and I suspect Chad is highest and Joe lowest based primarily on playing time. No one should doubt Stanton’s production when he is healthy, but the injury history makes No Longer Mike a high variance play.
- J.D. Martinez tied for the largest split, with Joe being $5 higher than my value, and Chad being $5 lower than mine. I’m not entirely sure what’s driving the disparity here, though Martinez did miss some time last year so it’s possible we all have differing PA projections. Even in just 120 games last year Martinez was worth about $30, so I think our average may prove to be a bit conservative.
- There is a theme here with our biggest splits, and it is injury uncertainty. No player epitomizes that more than Michael Brantley right now. If he plays most of a full season I think he’s a $15-$20 OF, but there is a lot of chatter out there that Brantley won’t be ready to start the season and the Indians won’t rush him back. There is a very real possibility that this shoulder issue keeps the Indians star from ever being the same.
- Our last big split belongs to Cody Bellinger, and the reason is tied to something we have mentioned in prior posts- Joe assigned bid values to prospects based on future value and trade/market value while Chad and I only assigned values to players expected to be productive this season. I’m a bit surprised by the $10 valuation Joe assigned to Bellinger, but this time next year that could look prescient.
- One interesting note, we have 81 OF ranked at $2+, and my typical auction findings showed that about 82 OF go for $2+ at auction
Any questions or comments about these rankings? Let us know in the comments!
Justin is a life long Cubs fan who has been playing fantasy baseball for 20+ years, and an ottoneu addict since 2012. Follow him on Twitter @justinvibber.
Keon Broxton? KEON BROXTON
Probably could have included him as a $3 guy or so, hindsight and all… That said, I think he is a much better real life and 5×5 asset than points.
Interesting thanks! Its not far off my ~$6.
Broxton was just outside my list, barely missed being $1.