We’ve been banging this drum for weeks, but continued progress is the goal here. I’ve also added a week-to-week change meter on the numbers so you can get a feel of how things are progressing. Similarly, how else can I better justify a collective 4.78 ERA? Ha.
Here are the totals through half of week 11 (with week-to-week change listed):
15-30 record (+ 1-0)
4.78 ERA (-0.31)
6.2 K/9 (no change)
2.2 K/BB (-0.1)
1.43 WHIP (+ 0.02)
Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses. Y! ownership numbers pulled courtesy of twitter pal @PandaPete21, whom you should give a follow:
RHP Nate Karns – 19.3% ESPN/20% Y! – v. CLE (.315), @NYY (.331)
Karns doesn’t really have easy matchups this week, but the pickings aren’t great across the board. I also considered Colby Lewis, Mike Pelfrey and Wandy Rodriguez before settling on these three. Karns has had a nice run with the Rays, with a 3.28 ERA and 8.2 K/9, though he oddly leads the league with 10 wild pitches. C.J. Wilson also has 10, and only one other pitcher — Sonny Gray with eight — has more than seven in the AL. Karns’ mix of strikeouts and grounders (45.4 percent) is solid, though his control teeters on the brink of being troublesome (3.6 BB/9), though he has done a fairly good job of not having any games where he comes completely unraveled in that respect. He has three four-walk games, but also importantly has yet to go an entire start without issuing a free pass. Karns’ last three starts have been really good, resulting in a 1.04 ERA and 17-5 K/BB ratio in 17.1 innings. Opponents have hit just .246/.300/.292 off him in that span, which includes team wins over the White Sox and Indians, and a tough 1-0 loss to Toronto. Shutting down the Jays offense for six innings is no small task, but he did just that last time out. Read the rest of this entry »