The Daily Overlay: Too Many Fly Balls

by
August 21, 2020

We have a 12 game slate on DraftKings for Friday! Don’t forget to check your lineups before lock.

AGENDA
1. The Daily Overlay DK Contest
2. Casual Weather
3. Favorite Stacks
4. Favorite Hitting Plays
5. Favorite Pitching Plays

1. The Daily Overlay DK Contest
Join our contest running on Tuesday’s and Friday’s all season long! Take the money of Justin Mason, Paul Sporer and other fantasy analysts in this fun contest! Next season we will make a DFS League if there is interest.

Join the Daily Overlay’s Draftkings contest here: https://www.draftkings.com/contest/draftteam/90187807

Last Tuesday’s winner was RMoss1983!

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2. Casual Weather
MIL at PIT- There is only a 5% chance of rain at game time, but that grows to 25% later in the game. Could have a mid-game delay.

PHI at ATL- 55% chance of scattered thunderstorms during the game makes this one a risky play.

BOS at BAL- Like the Pirates/Brewers game, this one starts with a 5% chance of rain and grows throughout the game. Chance of a mid-game delay.

 

3. Favorite Stacks
Indians versus Michael Fulmer– Fulmer has been awful so far this season and the Indians have a nice stack opportunity at the top part of their lineup.

Seattle vs Kolby Allard– I actually like Allard from a straight ability standpoint, but he is giving up too many fly balls.

Giants versus Robbie Ray– Robbie Ray is an absolute mess and the Giants have some guys that can hit lefties pretty well.

Reds versus Dakota Hudson– Hudson is giving up too much hard contact for a guy that is allowing contact on almost 95% of his zone contact.

 

4. Favorite Hitting Plays
Catcher (Expensive): Christian Vasquez at BAL
Catcher (Punt/Value): Joey Bart vs ARI. Bart is only $2,300 and has a nice matchup versus the volatile lefty Robbie Ray. Also consider Austin Nola, Max Stassi, Tucker Barnhart, and Keibert Ruiz.

1B (Expensive): Paul Goldschmidt vs CIN
1B (Punt/Value): Wilmer Flores vs ARI. Flores has homered in his last two games and is always in the lineup versus lefties. Also consider Todd Frazier, Edwin Encarnicion, Justin Smoak, Darin Ruf.

2B (Expensive): Keston Hiura at PIT
2B (Punt/Value): Brendan Rodgers vs LAD. I don’t know how good he is at this point, but the Rockies brought him up and he is $2,400. Also consider Abraham Toro.

3B (Expensive): Jose Ramirez vs DET
3B (Punt/Value): Abraham Toro at SD. Toro would be a more well regarded prospect if he wasn’t blocked by the stacked Astros lineup. However, with Bregman on the IL, he has a shot to be in the lineup regularly and if he is, he has a nice matchup. Also consider Alex Bohm and Jeimer Candelario.

SS (Expensive): Francisco Lindor vs DET
SS (Punt/Value): It is a really small sample, but Dubon is crushing lefties and gets Robbie Ray. Also consider Brendan Rodgers.

OF (Expensive): J.D. Martinez, Nelson Cruz, Cody Bellinger, Mookie Betts, Christian Yelich, Nick Castellanos, Anthony Santander, Franmil Reyes.
OF (Punt/Value): Dylan Moore, Nick Solak, Kyle Lewis, Jesse Winker, Kyle Tucker, Robbie Grossman, Austin Slater, and Mauricio Dubon

 

5. Favorite Pitching Plays
Cash Games: Aaron Nola, Max Fried, Jake Odorizzi, Adrian Houser, Adam Plutko

Tournament: Walker Buehler, Aaron Nola, Max Fried, Adrian Houser, Adam Plutko,
Anthony DeSclafani

Contrarian Plays: Danny Duffy, Jon Gray, Kolby Allar, Andrew Heaney

The Daily Overlay will be running Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday this season, so stay tuned for more DFS content next week.





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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