The Daily Grind: Eleven Home Runs

Hellick’s Son Rode On through to the other side. And if that doesn’t make sense, you’ll just have to read today’s Streaming Wars.

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. Eleven Home Runs

1. The Daily Grind Invitational

We’re bouncing between high and low scoring contests. Yesterday was one of the highest scoring challenges with mmddyyyy winning a second straight day. Steve Pearce and a Dodgers stack went absolutely bananas. Congrats and Leaderboard.

We’ve got a whopper of a contest on FantasyDraft tonight. As usual, $2, two-entries each, no rake, and a long streak of overlays.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

If you have not signed up for FantasyDraft, please use this referral link for tracking purposes. If I understand properly, by using the referral, you will receive a 10 percent return on any rakes you pay.

2. Weather Reports

Storms could influence the action in the northeast – specifically Philadelphia, New York, and Washington. Keep an eye on it.

3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse

Main Slate: Justin Verlander ($25,400) is the priciest pitcher in a potential playoff preview against the Dodgers. Frankly, I’ll take Jacob deGrom ($23,800) against the Braves every single time. deGrom should cost more than Verlander. I’d only go to the Astros ace as a contrarian play – except I’m not yet convinced he’ll have low ownership. Alex Wood ($16,300) and Anibal Sanchez ($15,500) are on the other side of these matchups. Sanchez in particular looks playable. The Mets are pooey.

Patrick Corbin is the third priciest in a neutral matchup versus the Giants. For $20,200, you’ll probably get what you paid for. The next three pitchers off the potential for considerably better value.

I worry Marco Gonzales ($18,800 against the Blue Jays) will be asked to make short starts for the rest of the season. Every inning counts for the Mariners, and Gonzales folds when facing batters more than twice. For this reason, I’m out. You can pencil Mike Clevinger ($18,100) in for a full six innings, especially if Mike Trout needs another day to heal. Luis Severino offers the maximum of risk and reward.  He’s struggled over his last three starts – two of them against bad opponents. The Red Sox are scary. Severino still has the ability to outperform every pitcher.

Chris Archer’s National League debut against a mid-tier Cardinals offense at pitcher friendly PNC Park is heinously underpriced at $15,900. He’s almost must-play. I say almost because Vince Velasquez costs less ($15,200) in a candy-coated matchup versus the Marlins. How could you not use that?

Other playable arms include Jake Odorizzi ($15,400 vs KC), Rick Porcello ($17,000 vs NYY), German Marquez ($14,900 at MIL), Gio Gonzalez ($13,500 vs CIN), and Jaime Barria ($12,100 at CLE).

Stack Targets: Ariel Jurado, Chris Stratton, Ryan Borucki, Lucas Giolito, Brett Anderson, Heath Fillmyer, David Hess, Blaine Hardy, Ryne Stanek and friends

Well. No shortage of stacks. Sometimes I wonder how often people @JustinMasonFWFB over his Stratton love.

4. SaberSim Says…

deGrom, Verlander, Velasquez, Archer, and Corbin are the top rated pitchers. Nailed it! Values include Velasquez, Archer, Junior Guerra (slumpy), and Sanchez. Bats like Eddie Rosario, Joey Gallo, Jose Ramirez, Shin-Soo Choo, and Rougned Odor are the Sim’s favs. The Rangers… Jonathan Villar, Logan Morrison, Logan Forsythe, and Adrian Beltre stand out among the bargains.

5.Eleven Home Runs

I rostered this and STILL didn’t scratch the money last night. Hell of a day.

It’s because these clowns knocked seven homers and I had none of them.

I still don’t see evidence of a Maikel Franco breakout, but that hasn’t stopped him from staying hot.





You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam

6 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
AnonMember since 2025
7 years ago

We need a term for the 2nd guy the Rays bring in. The Rays have obviously brought “opener” to the lexicon. Of course there’s middle reliever, swingman, LOOGY, setup guy and closer, but none of those quite capture the Rays’ strategy of having some guy come in behind the opener with the intent of pitching 4 to 6 innings.

I’m also trying to figure out how to play the Rays’ situation. Ryan Yarbrough hasn’t been great and doesn’t even qualify for the ERA title, but he’s got 10 wins which is 18th most in baseball and tied with Verlander, Cole and Bauer among others.

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
7 years ago
Reply to  Anon

The second guy is obviously the “headliner”, or the “main act”

nb
7 years ago
Reply to  Anon

Long man