RotoGraphs Consensus Ranks: Third Base
It’s time to finish up the infield. Surprisingly perhaps only to me, third base ended up being the deepest position more years than it wasn’t in my FanGraphs+ auction strategy analysis.
There’s probably more agreement at the top of this position than most, at least more than the shortstops. Once you get past the top three or four, the agreement stops, but then you also have a scrum that looks like it could be one single tier, all the way down past twelve. This could be a position you wait on if you miss the top guys in a mixed league. But don’t wait too long in deep league. It gets dicey again in the late twenties.
It looks like I like Brett Lawrie, Mike Moustakas, and Pablo Sandoval better than most. That sounds right.
(The projections listed are the FanGraphs-Steamer projections and are not the basis for each analyst’s rankings.)
RotoG | ES | JZ | MP | ZS | Name | PA | AVG | R | HR | RBI | SB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Miguel Cabrera | 672 | 0.32 | 105 | 35 | 115 | 3 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | David Wright | 651 | 0.282 | 83 | 21 | 81 | 10 |
3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | Adrian Beltre | 580 | 0.295 | 78 | 27 | 94 | 1 |
4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | Evan Longoria | 564 | 0.277 | 80 | 29 | 88 | 4 |
5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | Chase Headley | 673 | 0.264 | 79 | 18 | 77 | 11 |
6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | Hanley Ramirez | 614 | 0.269 | 78 | 19 | 74 | 16 |
7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 6 | Ryan Zimmerman | 539 | 0.282 | 69 | 21 | 74 | 3 |
8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | Brett Lawrie | 545 | 0.267 | 66 | 16 | 67 | 12 |
9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 5 | Aramis Ramirez | 521 | 0.275 | 65 | 21 | 76 | 3 |
10 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 8 | Martin Prado | 642 | 0.294 | 85 | 13 | 66 | 8 |
11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 14 | Pablo Sandoval | 536 | 0.298 | 71 | 20 | 79 | 2 |
12 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | Mark Trumbo | 502 | 0.255 | 63 | 24 | 74 | 3 |
13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | Kyle Seager | 628 | 0.254 | 68 | 16 | 68 | 9 |
14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 11 | Will Middlebrooks | 498 | 0.259 | 59 | 20 | 67 | 7 |
15 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 13 | Mike Moustakas | 581 | 0.254 | 66 | 20 | 74 | 3 |
16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 16 | David Freese | 502 | 0.281 | 58 | 15 | 61 | 2 |
17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | Michael Young | 569 | 0.288 | 63 | 12 | 62 | 2 |
18 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 18 | Todd Frazier | 502 | 0.242 | 55 | 19 | 63 | 7 |
19 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 19 | Pedro Alvarez | 578 | 0.24 | 67 | 25 | 76 | 2 |
20 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 21 | Manny Machado | 496 | 0.24 | 54 | 13 | 54 | 10 |
21 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 22 | Lonnie Chisenhall | 458 | 0.248 | 50 | 15 | 55 | 3 |
22 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 26 | Jeff Keppinger | 532 | 0.28 | 62 | 10 | 53 | 2 |
23 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 24 | Kevin Youkilis | 415 | 0.254 | 51 | 15 | 51 | 1 |
24 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 30 | Mark Reynolds | 531 | 0.225 | 66 | 25 | 70 | 2 |
25 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 23 | Trevor Plouffe | 430 | 0.235 | 47 | 17 | 53 | 2 |
26 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 31 | Jordan Pacheco | 323 | 0.275 | 32 | 5 | 34 | 3 |
27 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 25 | Alberto Callaspo | 383 | 0.265 | 41 | 7 | 39 | 3 |
28 | 25 | 24 | 38 | 39 | Jedd Gyorko | 391 | 0.269 | 42 | 13 | 59 | 4 |
29 | 29 | 28 | 38 | 32 | Jamey Carroll | 485 | 0.275 | 51 | 1 | 37 | 7 |
30 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 29 | Josh Donaldson | 388 | 0.242 | 43 | 13 | 45 | 6 |
31 | 33 | 34 | 29 | 38 | Brett Wallace | 370 | 0.253 | 41 | 12 | 44 | 1 |
32 | 34 | 42 | 23 | 35 | Maicer Izturis | 254 | 0.263 | 27 | 3 | 24 | 7 |
33 | 37 | 38 | 28 | 33 | Adeiny Hechavarria | 397 | 0.235 | 32 | 5 | 34 | 6 |
34 | 31 | 30 | 38 | 41 | Chris Johnson | 342 | 0.259 | 35 | 9 | 40 | 2 |
35 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 51 | Chris Nelson | 304 | 0.274 | 33 | 8 | 37 | 2 |
36 | 36 | 45 | 35 | 27 | Matt Dominguez | 339 | 0.242 | 35 | 9 | 36 | 1 |
37 | 42 | 36 | 37 | 28 | Donovan Solano | 411 | 0.248 | 34 | 3 | 34 | 5 |
38 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 40 | Steve Lombardozzi | 298 | 0.252 | 27 | 4 | 27 | 6 |
39 | 42 | 39 | 38 | 34 | Luis Cruz | 346 | 0.249 | 30 | 6 | 37 | 2 |
40 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 37 | Juan Francisco | 277 | 0.249 | 29 | 11 | 36 | 1 |
41 | 35 | 33 | 38 | 51 | Matt Carpenter | 317 | 0.259 | 33 | 5 | 33 | 2 |
42 | 42 | 37 | 38 | 45 | Placido Polanco | 384 | 0.268 | 37 | 3 | 31 | 2 |
43 | 42 | 41 | 38 | 47 | Daniel Descalso | 380 | 0.247 | 34 | 4 | 35 | 3 |
44 | 38 | 48 | 38 | 49 | Ian Stewart | 328 | 0.235 | 36 | 12 | 40 | 2 |
45 | 42 | 51 | 36 | 44 | Alex Rodriguez | 187 | 0.259 | 23 | 7 | 24 | 2 |
46 | 41 | 51 | 38 | 46 | Mike Olt | 170 | 0.231 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 2 |
47 | 42 | 49 | 38 | 48 | Ryan Roberts | 286 | 0.236 | 30 | 7 | 29 | 5 |
Others ranked by one analyst: Wilson Betemit, DJ LeMahieu, Eduardo Nunez, Ryan Wheeler, Jerry Hairston, Sean Rodriguez and Greg Dobbs.
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
After this one and SS from earlier, I’m finding Mr. ZS to be highly unreliable! A breakout season makes Headley #2, and Hanley is outside the top 10… behind Middlebrooks… ummm, ok!