Roto Riteup: May 20, 2015
I plan on seeing Pitch Perfect 2 at some point, perhaps today, so here is my favorite performance from the first film. Spoiler alert: I think this should have won, but that’s just me.
On today’s agenda:
1. Rusney Castillo not far off
2. Buying Mike Napoli
3. Bad news for Victor Martinez
4. Streaming Pitching Options
Rusney Castillo not far off
Oh dear. I hope commenter Walkswith4Balls didn’t pull the trigger on any Castillo trades after placing him on the trade block yesterday. The Red Sox seem intent on calling up Castillo sooner rather than later, as skipper John Farrell alluded to. Castillo is in Miami for the birth of his child and could be called up directly to the Sox rather than back to Triple-A Pawtucket. After outrighting Allen Craig, playing time at the major league level appears to be clearer for Castillo and he is worth an add in most leagues. One can grab the talented 27-year-old in 47 percent of Yahoo! formats and more than 75 percent of ESPN leagues, but only 24 percent of CBS leagues.
Buying Mike Napoli
Sticking with the East coast bias for a bit, I think now is a great time to make a move for Napoli. Despite hitting a home run in yesterday’s game, he has struggled at times and owns a .174/.275/.314 line thus far. His .198 BABIP — a mark more than 100 points below his career average — hasn’t helped him at all in the early going. Napoli’s 20.7 percent Soft% batted ball ranked tied at 134 out of 185 qualified batters, but I remain optimistic. It’s possible the 33-year-old has lost a bit of bad speed, however I don’t think he has. Napoli isn’t over-swinging in an attempt to compensate for any bat slowing as his 12.3 percent walk rate is in line with his career average and his 22.5 percent strikeout rate is actually four points below his career rate.
Without a drop in his contact rate or an increase in his swinging strike rate, I think Napoli is a victim of small sample size amplified by the beginning of the season spotlight. In my points and on-base percentage leagues I continue to start Napoli without second thoughts. That said a standard 5×5 league player may want to think again on him due to his low batting average. For me I’d start Napoli as I still like his pop and his spot in the lineup. Even with the struggles Napoli hasn’t hit lower than sixth and has primarily appeared at the fifth spot, a great position for gathering RBIs. If you’re willing to sacrifice AVG for some counting numbers, Napoli can be picked up in more than 60 percent of Yahoo! and CBS leagues as well as over 80 percent of ESPN formats.
Bad news for Victor Martinez
The Tigers placed their designated hitter on the 15-day DL due to inflammation in his left knee yesterday. Manager Brad Ausmus expect Martinez to contribute again at some point this season, however the slugger won’t touch a bat for at least a week. Given it is the same knee Martinez has preseason surgery on, plus his slow start, the Tigers were likely correct to play it safe with the 36-year-old. From the sounds of things, it seems highly unlikely Martinez misses the minimum 15 days. Slotting Napoli in your lineup rather than Martinez will hurt your batting average, though both project to put up roughly a .350 OBP with 15 or so home runs.
Streaming Pitching Options
If you enjoy streaming pitchers, tune into the Roto Riteup for recommendations each and every day.
A pitcher for today: Joe Kelly vs TEX (Phil Klein)
The Rangers rank in the bottom five of the league for wRC+ when facing a right-hander. Hopefully Kelly will limit the free passes or at least utilize his ground ball ways to wipe any runners off with double plays. He’s free to pick up in 65 percent of CBS leagues plus more than 85 percent of Yahoo! or ESPN leagues.
A pitcher for tomorrow: Jesse Chavez at TB (Alex Colome)
Chavez misses bats and possesses decent control. Factor in the Rays being a tick below average against righties thus far and a pitcher friendly park, he makes for a solid stream option. Chavez is available in over 40 percent of CBS leagues as well as over 60 percent of ESPN and Yahoo! formats.
You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter, @davidwiers.
OBP redraft league
Napoli or Matt Adams
Touch your head
Napoli for me.
Adams is excellent against righties, but he’s been mostly platooned this year.
OBP redraft league
Napoli or Matt Adams ?
Adams
It’s close, but I might actually go with Napoli. The red flags that keep popping up about Adams and his lost power stroke are very concerning. Napoli has plenty of warts to his game as well, but his issues seem a lot less concerning than the ones that keep popping up with Adams.
Hey David, you’re right, I have struggled at times, like a 39 games or so.
Not even a quarter of the season, my friend!
Boy sure seems like the Red Sox are primed for a great season once they got all the unlucky babip and small sample size out of the way.
That pesky top-10 projected WAR.
Fangraphs projections are never wrong!
And neither are you, Mr. Boston-first-in-ALE-in-2014.
Neither Steamer nor ZiPS is owned by FG. If you’d like to make fun of my picks, go ahead. Start with my 0-20 Bold Predictions.
Regarding Castillo, in a vacuum, is he a better bet to out produce Gregory Polanco the rest of the way? Castillo is a bit of an unknown, but I’m not sure Polanco is going to reach his potential for another year or two. While Polanco’s production has been far from embarrassing so far, it also hasnt been so good that I’m not afraid to sell in non-keeper formats.
I’d take Polanco, but it’s close.
In my OBP league who, if anyone, do I drop if Castillo is brought up Fowler, Soler, Souza or Calhoun? I don’t think Castillo will bat higher than 6th, will he?
No one. Keep the OF you have.
No worries David I still have him! I didn’t receive an offer, but I wasn’t planning on moving him unless blown away. The question is who do I cut (if anyone) when he’s called up? Yelich, Span, Calhoun, JD Martinez are the OF options. LaRoche is the one IF.
Awesome. I would have felt pretty crummy if you moved him immediately. I like Martinez the least out of that group, but he’s too good to drop. Maybe trade him?
Forgot to ask: which streamer do you like today Chen or Martinez? Another option is to pick up Santiago for the long term (pitches Sunday). Thanks.
Definitely Carlos Martinez. The Mets kind of stink vs right-handed pitching.
Hi, David. Do you like Carlos Martinez or Carlos Rodon rest of the season in a 12 team mixed roto? Thanks!
Martinez for me, but I’m still low on Rodon.
Alright, and which combination of players do you like rest of the season in a 12 team mixed roto? Addison Russell and Maikel Franco or Ben Zobrist and Jung Ho Kang. Once again, thanks for the quick reply, David! Appreciate it!
Zobrist and Kang for me. I really like Franco’s bat speed, but that isn’t everything. Just ask Baez that.
Napoli or LaRoche in a redraft league? LaRoche’s k% is up, his ISO is down, and his overall numbers are terrible despite a .309 Babip
I like Napoli.
Napoli for me.
Got offered a blockbuster in a 12 team h2h. Clayton Kershaw for Giancarlo Stanton. Can keep either forever
Take it.
Take it now.
side question: How do you determine which side of a trade proposal the asker would be getting? I read the question as that Ed was offered Kershaw (and therefore would give up Stanton).
I assume you read the question in the reverse way, judging by your answer.
Good question. I interpreted it as giving up Kershaw to get Stanton.
If that’s the case, I stand by my original answer. If I misread it, keep Stanton.
Adams is definitely in a platoon now w Mark Reynolds.
Yerp. Which is mostly fine, really. Adams is on the bigger side of it and isn’t great against southpaws anyways.