O-Dog to the Twins

Minnesota Twins signed 2B Orlando Hudson to a one-year, $5 million contract.

O-Dog might not be the same caliber glove man that he was during his days with the Blue Jays (-3.3 UZR/150 over the past three seasons), but the switch-hitter has shown improvement at the plate in his early thirties. You could pretty much set your watch to Hudson’s bat over the past three years: a 114 wRC+ in 2007 and 2008, and a 112 wRC+ in 2009.

His triple-slash line this past year (.283/.357/.417) looks less impressive than his work with the D-Backs, but that’s mainly the result of park factors. According to the 2010 Bill James Handbook, Arizona’s Chase Field boosted run-scoring by 15 percent compared to a neutral stadium from 2007-2009, increasing doubles by 20 percent and triples by a stunning 73 percent. Dodger Stadium, meanwhile, has increased runs by four percent, inflating two-baggers by five percent and decreasing triples by 29 percent.

The 32 year-old doesn’t possess one standout skill at the plate. But he has a good eye, with a 10.2 percent walk rate from 2007-2009, and a 19.2 Outside-Swing% (25% MLB average). Hudson’s not an over-the-fence threat, with single-digit HR totals the past couple years, but he hit enough doubles to post a .142 ISO from ’07 to ’09. It is worth nothing that Orlando hit more worm-burners than usual with the Dodgers:

His groundball rate was 55.8 percent, compared to a career 49.9 GB%. If that trend persists, that portends to less pop for Hudson.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

Here are Hudson’s projections for the 2010 season:

CHONE: 103 wRC+
Bill James: 106 wRC+
Fans: 108 wRC+
Marcel: 111 wRC+

It’s hard not to like this move for the Twins, as the club adds a 2+ win second baseman at a bargain price. Hudson isn’t a top-tier fantasy option, but he seems like a good bet to be 5-10 percent better than average with the lumber next year.





A recent graduate of Duquesne University, David Golebiewski is a contributing writer for Fangraphs, The Pittsburgh Sports Report and Baseball Analytics. His work for Inside Edge Scouting Services has appeared on ESPN.com and Yahoo.com, and he was a fantasy baseball columnist for Rotoworld from 2009-2010. He recently contributed an article on Mike Stanton's slugging to The Hardball Times Annual 2012. Contact David at david.golebiewski@gmail.com and check out his work at Journalist For Hire.

2 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Ben
15 years ago

Hey, it might be interesting to touch on battle for starting 3B for the Twins now; Punto vs. Harris.