My First Taste of Draft Season
The Screw Cancer league drafted last night. It’s an ottoneu FGpts format put together by former FanGraphs kingpin Dave Cameron. He – and some others – were forced to leave the league due to new commitments. It’s my first season in Screw Cancer, and it was my first draft of the season.
Since joining the league, we’ve raised $1,283 for cancer-related charities. If you’d like to participate, please contact me directly.
Pre-Draft State
I took over the roster previously run by Joe Douglas. He left me with some elite prospects and serious building blocks. Much better than when I’ve joined other existing leagues. After offseason trading, this is roster with which I entered the draft.
Position | Player | Cost | Other Pos |
---|---|---|---|
C | – | – | – |
C | – | – | – |
1B | Miguel Sano | $15 | 3B |
2B | DJ LeMahieu | $16 | – |
SS | Francisco Lindor | $25 | – |
MI | Corey Seager | $39 | – |
3B | Manny Machado | $47 | SS* |
OF | Joey Gallo | $13 | 1B/3B |
OF | Eric Thames | $19 | – |
OF | Chris Taylor | $7 | 2B/SS |
OF | Christian Yelich | $25 | – |
OF | Yasiel Puig | $17 | – |
UTIL | – | – | – |
That’s a pretty healthy group. Obviously, I needed catchers, a utility slugger, and more non-infield depth.
Position | Player | Cost |
---|---|---|
SP | Clayton Kershaw | $63 |
SP | Jacob Faria | $10 |
SP | Rich Hill | $8 |
SP | Robbie Ray | $7 |
SP | Zack Godley | $4 |
RP | Addison Reed | $7 |
RP | Chad Green | $4 |
RP | – | – |
RP | – | – |
RP | – | – |
Another good start. The rotation is talented but shallow. The bullpen is missing a few guys. Relievers and general depth were obvious needs.
Position | Player | Cost |
---|---|---|
OF | Ronald Acuna | $6 |
3B | Nick Senzel | $7 |
OF | Eloy Jimenez | $6 |
2B | Scott Kingery | $4 |
OF | Kyle Lewis | $2 |
SP | Mike Soroka | $4 |
SP | Michael Kopech | $3 |
Thanks Joe! These are some of the best ottoneu prospects in all of baseballdom. They took a lot of pressure off my draft since I should have no issue converting these guys into my needs.
Draft Plan
Overall, I spent $358 of my $400 budget to keep 24 players. That left me with $42 for 16 players and in-season moves. I planned to spend about $15 on one guy – either an underpriced sluggy outfielder or a reliever. The other 15 players were supposed to come from the $1 bin. Since I had premium prospect currency, I wasn’t too concerned with solving all of my needs. Catcher was the exception. I had a couple cheap targets I thought would combine for quality production.
Draft Execution
I tend to win a lot of players by accident. See if you can guess which of these guys weren’t meant to finish on my roster. Hint: there are four of them.
Position | Player | Cost |
---|---|---|
C | Robinson Chirinos | $3 |
C | Kurt Suzuki | $2 |
1B | Joe Mauer | $1 |
OF | Jackie Bradley Jr. | $8 |
OF | Dustin Fowler | $3 |
OF | Hunter Renfroe | $1 |
SP | Mike Leake | $3 |
SP | Brandon McCarthy | $1 |
RP | Koda Glover | $3 |
RP | Pedro Strop | $2 |
RP | Steve Cishek | $1 |
RP | Scott Alexander | $1 |
C | Keibert Ruiz | $1 |
SS | Carter Kieboom | $1 |
SS | Jorge Mateo | $1 |
Early in the draft, I nominated the much ballyhooed Ruiz, assuming others would drop $5 on him. I always get stuck with somebody in this fashion. Fortunately – and this is by design – a $1 Ruiz could very well blossom into a premium trade asset this summer. The same happened with Mateo. I was much more pleased with winning that one. Kieboom, if you’re wondering, was intentional.
A couple outfielders – Bradley Jr. and Fowler – nearly cost only $7 and $2 respectively. I thought keeping the bidding going would spur a few more dollars for players I figured should cost $10 and $5 respectively. Again, I’m not mad to have won them.
I’m quite pleased with my acquisitions for catcher and reliever. If we were to repeat 2017, I’ve cobbled together a top three catcher for a mere $5. Of regular catchers, only Gary Sanchez and Buster Posey outperformed Suzuki on a per-game basis. Chirinos was sixth best by that measure, sandwiched between Chris Iannetta and J.T. Realmuto. Of the pair, Chirinos is more likely to retain most of his numbers. The 34-year-old consistently walks and hits for power. Suzuki joined the air ball revolution last season, making his seemingly fluky performance smell repeatable.
Glover is nursing a sore shoulder at the moment. If he’s ever healthy, he throws the most devastating cutter I’ve ever seen – Mariano Rivera and Kenley Jansen included. Even with a bad ERA last season, he was one of the top ottoneu relievers on a per inning basis. Strop is consistently good-not-great. For $2, that’s a good-not-great investment. Ditto Cishek. Ramos was a monster in the second half, posting over 10 points per inning. His poor early season performance makes him a volatile asset. Alexander is Zach Britton pre-strikeout surge. I’ll take a 70 percent ground ball rate, especially with the Dodgers coaching around to unlock more ability.
I failed in three areas. I needed a utility slugger. What I got was Mauer and Renfroe. The former is an old OBP guy whose skills lead to high floor, low ceiling production in FGpts. He’s a $3 player. I got him for $1. Who cares. I needed $20 upside in that spot. Perhaps Renfroe can provide. Despite a disastrous season, Renfroe supplied league average points per game. A non-disaster could easily mimic Gallo’s output.
I’m not a huge JBJ fan, but there is something to be said for defense-first outfielders who will absolutely play every day they’re healthy. I would have preferred to win $7 Gregory Polanco. Better outfield depth would have helped solve the utility slot and ensured proper depth in the infield.
The two starting pitchers I added are… not ideal. That aspect of my roster is good enough for now, but it’s highly susceptible to collapse.
Now What?
Well, I have all these premium prospects, and I famously hate prospects. The obvious answer is to trade a few minor leaguers for a big bopper, outfield depth, and a couple talented starting pitchers. We’ll see if my leaguemates cooperate.
You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
Those cheap ARZ SPs must have you pretty excited about the humidor confirmation.
I think everyone’s getting a little too crazy about all that. I do expect the humidor to mitigate some of the regressive effects to Godley and Ray though.
Agreed – I’ve liked Ray and Godley a lot; the humidor makes me even more interested, but doesn’t alter my rankings much. Where it seems to get real crazy is on the offensive side . . . I watched Goldy go 14th in a 12 team mock on Yahoo yesterday.
That’s nuts. Goldy will be fine. Elite players in general aren’t affected as much by park effects. He might lose a few R/RBI and maybe a hit or 3. That doesn’t really change who he is.