Daily Fantasy Strategy — All-Star Break Notes — For Draftstreet
Today, we’ll gather around the TV and watch the All-Star game. Well, most of us will; some don’t care about the event very much. Either way, we’re without baseball for a few days after tonight’s ultimately meaningless home field deciding contest. So let’s take a look back at the Draftstreet All-Stars of the first half. I use wOBA more than anything else when choosing my daily lineup, mostly due to seeing people much better at daily than myself using it. Blake has long used it as a proxy for good daily production. In theory, it should work well. And as you’ll below, it works well in practice, too.
Num | Name | Team | PA | Total Points | Points per PA | wOBA Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mike Trout | Angels | 408 | 407.50 | 1.00 | 2 |
2 | Andrew McCutchen | Pirates | 419 | 405.00 | 0.97 | 3 |
3 | Michael Brantley | Indians | 390 | 394.00 | 1.01 | 13 |
4 | Edwin Encarnacion | Blue Jays | 375 | 383.25 | 1.02 | 5 |
5 | Paul Goldschmidt | Diamondbacks | 419 | 377.00 | 0.90 | 7 |
6 | Troy Tulowitzki | Rockies | 368 | 376.25 | 1.02 | 1 |
7 | Nelson Cruz | Orioles | 397 | 373.00 | 0.94 | 14 |
8 | Albert Pujols | Angels | 409 | 370.75 | 0.91 | 49 |
9 | Giancarlo Stanton | Marlins | 413 | 368.75 | 0.89 | 9 |
10 | Miguel Cabrera | Tigers | 387 | 366.50 | 0.95 | 19 |
11 | Jose Altuve | Astros | 418 | 360.50 | 0.86 | 39 |
12 | Jose Abreu | White Sox | 351 | 352.75 | 1.00 | 6 |
13 | Ian Kinsler | Tigers | 405 | 352.50 | 0.87 | 43 |
14 | Victor Martinez | Tigers | 340 | 351.00 | 1.03 | 4 |
15 | Anthony Rendon | Nationals | 397 | 348.25 | 0.88 | 34 |
16 | Jose Bautista | Blue Jays | 390 | 342.75 | 0.88 | 10 |
17 | Charlie Blackmon | Rockies | 383 | 341.75 | 0.89 | 35 |
18 | Brian Dozier | Twins | 424 | 338.50 | 0.80 | 56 |
19 | Todd Frazier | Reds | 400 | 336.00 | 0.84 | 23 |
20 | Freddie Freeman | Braves | 422 | 335.00 | 0.79 | 17 |
21 | Robinson Cano | Mariners | 392 | 334.00 | 0.85 | 25 |
22 | Anthony Rizzo | Cubs | 407 | 333.50 | 0.82 | 20 |
23 | Josh Donaldson | Athletics | 410 | 333.50 | 0.81 | 67 |
24 | Carlos Gomez | Brewers | 388 | 331.25 | 0.85 | 16 |
25 | Yasiel Puig | Dodgers | 394 | 323.25 | 0.82 | 8 |
Using Draftstreet’s scoring system (if I used excel correctly), Nineteen of the top scoring hitters, that are qualified, currently rank inside the top 25. The hitters that fall outside of the top 25 in wOBA each have some extenuating circumstances: Brian Dozier and Jose Altuve each add value by stealing bases at an efficient rate; Albert Pujols and Josh Donaldson are each in the top 16 in both runs scored and RBI, on top of hitting lots of dingers; And Ian Kinsler and Charlie Blackmon just fill their stat lines in whatever way possible. So, wOBA works. That’s not exactly surprising. Victor Martinez averaging more points per plate appearance than anyone in the majors is, though.
Num | Name | Team | IP | Total Points | Points per Inning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Felix Hernandez | Mariners | 144.1 | 250.85 | 1.74 |
2 | Johnny Cueto | Reds | 143.2 | 235.95 | 1.65 |
3 | David Price | Rays | 147.2 | 232.20 | 1.58 |
4 | Masahiro Tanaka | Yankees | 129.1 | 220.85 | 1.71 |
5 | Adam Wainwright | Cardinals | 138.0 | 217.75 | 1.58 |
6 | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | 96.1 | 209.10 | 2.18 |
7 | Max Scherzer | Tigers | 126.1 | 208.10 | 1.65 |
8 | Corey Kluber | Indians | 131.2 | 201.95 | 1.54 |
9 | Garrett Richards | Angels | 123.1 | 200.60 | 1.63 |
10 | Jon Lester | Red Sox | 129.0 | 198.50 | 1.54 |
11 | Yu Darvish | Rangers | 115.1 | 196.35 | 1.71 |
12 | Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 125.0 | 194.00 | 1.55 |
13 | Julio Teheran | Braves | 136.1 | 190.85 | 1.40 |
14 | Zack Greinke | Dodgers | 118.2 | 190.45 | 1.61 |
15 | Scott Kazmir | Athletics | 117.1 | 185.35 | 1.58 |
16 | Tyson Ross | Padres | 129.2 | 180.95 | 1.40 |
17 | Madison Bumgarner | Giants | 127.0 | 179.75 | 1.42 |
18 | Ian Kennedy | Padres | 124.1 | 176.10 | 1.42 |
19 | Sonny Gray | Athletics | 125.2 | 174.45 | 1.39 |
20 | Chris Sale | White Sox | 95.0 | 172.75 | 1.82 |
21 | Jeff Samardzija | Athletics | 123.0 | 160.50 | 1.30 |
22 | Jason Hammel | Athletics | 113.2 | 160.45 | 1.42 |
23 | John Lackey | Red Sox | 123.1 | 157.35 | 1.28 |
24 | James Shields | Royals | 130.2 | 156.70 | 1.20 |
25 | Kyle Lohse | Brewers | 127.0 | 156.25 | 1.23 |
When we look at starting pitchers, we see mostly familiar names. Masahiro Tanaka (RIP, perhaps), Corey Kluber, Garrett Richards, Scott Kazmir, Tyson Ross, Ian Kennedy, Jason Hammel, and, perhaps, Kyle Lohse probably wouldn’t have been predicted to be in the top 25, but they are. Other than that, it’s the normal pitchers we associate with being great. On a per inning basis, no one has been better than Clayton Kershaw (surprise!). Chris Sale also jumps up the list into second place. And both Jake Odorizzi and Hisashi Iwakuma slide into the back of the top 25. Quietly, they’re both putting together nice seasons.
Num | Name | Team | IP | Total Points | Points per Inning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Craig Kimbrel | Braves | 37.2 | 164.45 | 4.42 |
2 | Francisco Rodriguez | Brewers | 45.1 | 154.35 | 3.42 |
3 | Kenley Jansen | Dodgers | 38.2 | 151.45 | 3.96 |
4 | Trevor Rosenthal | Cardinals | 43.2 | 150.70 | 3.49 |
5 | Greg Holland | Royals | 34.2 | 145.20 | 4.25 |
6 | Koji Uehara | Red Sox | 43.2 | 143.45 | 3.32 |
7 | Fernando Rodney | Mariners | 36.1 | 137.35 | 3.80 |
8 | David Robertson | Yankees | 32.2 | 137.20 | 4.26 |
9 | Glen Perkins | Twins | 39.1 | 135.10 | 3.46 |
10 | Aroldis Chapman | Reds | 29.2 | 134.95 | 4.62 |
11 | Huston Street | Padres | 33.0 | 129.25 | 3.92 |
12 | Dellin Betances | Yankees | 55.1 | 128.85 | 2.34 |
13 | Rafael Soriano | Nationals | 37.0 | 127.00 | 3.43 |
14 | Jonathan Papelbon | Phillies | 37.1 | 123.60 | 3.33 |
15 | Sean Doolittle | Athletics | 43.2 | 122.45 | 2.83 |
16 | Zach Britton | Orioles | 48.1 | 115.60 | 2.40 |
17 | Steve Cishek | Marlins | 38.1 | 115.10 | 3.02 |
18 | Joe Smith | Angels | 42.2 | 114.20 | 2.71 |
19 | Cody Allen | Indians | 41.2 | 113.70 | 2.76 |
20 | Addison Reed | Diamondbacks | 37.2 | 108.45 | 2.92 |
21 | Sergio Romo | Giants | 37.0 | 108.25 | 2.93 |
22 | Joakim Soria | Rangers | 30.1 | 102.60 | 3.41 |
23 | Mark Melancon | Pirates | 41.2 | 102.20 | 2.48 |
24 | Jake McGee | Rays | 41.1 | 100.60 | 2.45 |
25 | Wade Davis | Royals | 39.2 | 93.95 | 2.40 |
Finally, the relievers. The “value” of the save is still alive and well. Sergio Romo, despite his awfulness is still top 20. Addison Reed, too; although he hasn’t been quite as bad as Romo. They’re undoubtedly on the list due to their saves. Closers dominate the list, and they should, given the scoring setup, but being a full time closer isn’t exactly required to be valuable. Dellin Betances is in the top 25. So is Jake McGee. Tyler Clippard, Pat Neshek, and Antonio Bastardo don’t miss by much. So let’s have some fun. Outside of the usual names (Trout, Cabrera, Kershaw, etc.), who are your dark horses to perform the best in the second half? I’ll go with: Jayson Werth, Zack Greinke, and Huston Street (after a trade to LAA, anyone?). In case you’re curious about other names, here is a link to each spreadsheet. Enjoy the game/break, and I’ll see you on Friday. This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.
Landon is a senior writer at The Fantasy Fix. You can follow and interact with him on Twitter (@joneslandon).
Can you redo the pitching tables using points per appearance rather than per inning? That seems a lot more relevant, since some starters tend to pitch deeper into games than others. Less relevant for closers but it could still matter.
I will if I have the chance later on this afternoon.