Catcher Wrap From Graphs’ Dynasty Mock Draft

As we saw through last week’s series of articles, there’s been quite a lot of talk about the Fan/RotoGraphs Dynasty Mock Draft.  Yes, there seemed to be a bit of confusion — two people thought it was a regular keeper draft rather than a dynasty one — but lost in the mundane and repetitive critique of that aspect was the true meaning of a mock draft.  Its is a test.  It is a guideline.  It is a tool.  You use a mock draft to gauge where particular players are going; where certain positions come off the board in a run.  It certainly isn’t the gospel, but while the calendar hasn’t even flipped to January and offseason player movement has far from ceased, it’s definitely a useful piece of information from which to get started.  That being said, we’re going to wrap up its coverage with a listing of the catchers that went, where they came off the board, and a few notes along the way.

The Top 5

Round Pick
Carlos Santana 3 29
Mike Napoli 4 38
Brian McCann 4 42
Buster Posey 5 49
Joe Mauer 5 56

These were all covered last Monday, but click here if you missed that coverage and want to see.  All in all, no real surprises.

The Next Wave

Matt Wieters 5 58
Alex Avila 8 88
J.P Arencibia 8 93

Each one has youth on their side with solid power upside.  Wieters’ strong final month in 2011 has shot him up to the top and a big year is expected.  Avila was incredibly well rounded while Arencibia needs to pull that batting average up if he ever wants top tier respect.

The Reach

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Chris Iannetta 9 99

Still having a tough time seeing what all the hoopla is about, and no, getting out of Colorado and into a Mike Scioscia-run team isn’t going to do anything to help his value.  Watch those unintentional intentional walks and OBP decline now that there isn’t a pitcher hitting behind him.  The key thing to remember here is that someone in your league is going to overvalue him too.

Could Have Gone Sooner

Jesus Montero 10 113

No doubt that if Montero had catcher eligibility in this draft, he would have gone with the Next Wave.  Having just DH eligibility would drop even the tastiest of prospects.

Playing for This Year

Miguel Montero 10 115
Victor Martinez 10 119
Geovany Soto 16 183
Yadier Molina 17 195
Kurt Suzuki 17 199

One of the more noticeable thing when you tell a bunch of experts that they’re doing a keeper/dynasty draft is the overvaluing of youth.  You see players coming off the board in earlier rounds that would, more than likely, go much later if you were doing the same style draft with your friends at home.  Not just at this position, but at all positions.  With that, players in this group dropped significantly and may not be available at this point in, dare I say, more “regular” drafts.  The thing to remember is that when doing a keeper draft, some people will ignore proven talent and go with upside.  That leaves a number of quality players that can help you now from which to choose.  Someone has to win this year.  It might as well be you.

The Remainder

Wilson Ramos 21 252
Devin Mesoraco 23 269
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 27 316

Love Mesoraco’s upside but the presence of Ryan Hanigan and the fact that Dusty Baker loves his veterans keeps him down.  Ramos, I thought, could have gone much earlier — say around the 12th round, but maybe the guys drafting weren’t sure how he’s respond to the whole kidnapping ordeal.  Salty showed some good late season power and plays in a potent lineup, but will need to reduce those strikeouts in a big way if he’s ever going to take the next step.

Strangely Omitted

Salvador Perez
Wilin Rosario
Hank Conger
Yasmani Grandal

Especially in a keeper/dynasty draft with a bunch of baseball writers.  Really?  No love at all?  Probably because it was just a 12-team, one catcher league, but still…

So there it is.  Use the information as much or as little as you like.  But most importantly, keep doing/looking at mock drafts.  It’s only going to help you once you get to the real thing.

 

 

 





Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over 10 years on a variety of websites. In addition to his work here, you can also find him at his site, RotobuzzGuy.com, Fantasy Alarm, RotoWire and Mock Draft Central. Follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or for more direct questions or comments, email him at rotobuzzguy@gmail.com

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Oliver
13 years ago

That seems a bit low to me for M. Montero, unless you’re a believer in every other year patterns with his HR/FB%. He’s no spring chicken but he’s also not old, raised his BA by cutting his K% rather than BABIP. Wasn’t crushing the ball but also wasn’t just getting lucky breaks, plays in the right park for him.
I guess now that I think about it, that’s about where you’d expect him to be drafted, but I expect him to outperform that draft position. I also expect him to outperform Mauer this year and in the next three years.

James Gentile
13 years ago
Reply to  Oliver

I agree, I would take MMontero over Ianetta by a very large margin.

But hey, good luck with Ianetta, suckers.