Author Archive

Ottoneu: The Surprise Hitters Dropped at the Deadline

Freeman Celebrates on Base
Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Real-life general managers face economic pressures of all kinds. It must be stressful to be in charge of it all; managing revenue, navigating relationships with the owner(s), the coaches, the players, the fans, deciding whether a player is “worth” the money he’ll likely win in an arbitration hearing, trying to figure out if you can fit in some greens to your diet. Ottoneu managers can face economic pressures too. For some reason, we actually enjoy fabricating the economic stressors that those real-world GM’s face. Why? Well, it’s fun to pretend. But also because we think we might actually be able to do the job ourselves. Be careful what you wish for, you may have to justify cutting a player like Freddie Freeman from your team because you thought it would be a good “economic” decision. Get your speaking notes ready for FanFest, prepare yourself for the press conference, ditch the greens, grab whatever’s still sitting under the heat lamp at the closest “Grab N’ Go!” It’s time to justify the offseason decisions you “had” to make.
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Ottoneu: The Big Name Pitchers Dropped at the Deadline

Kevin Gausman walks off the mound with his head held low.
Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

One Ottoneu manager’s cuts are another Ottoneu manager’s auction bids. But take heed pretend baseball general manager! These pitchers were cut for a reason. Maybe their signature pitch no longer fell out of the zone at the last split second like it used to. Maybe injury has the general public concerned. But, maybe those criticisms will be your opportunities. This article provides some context about the pitchers who were dropped the most at the keeper deadline, using “% of leagues with a cut in the last 7 days” as the starting point.
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Ottoneu: Lucas’ Keep or Cut Decisions at SP Part II

An image of Joey Cantillo throwing a pitch
David Dermer-Imagn Images

Part one of my starting pitcher keep/cut articles had me diving deep on pitchers who have shown major league success but hadn’t yet instilled themselves in any major league rotation with consistency yet. That’s what we’re really after. But it takes time for pitchers to get there and you have to decide first, how long you’re willing to wait, and second, at what price. Read the rest of this entry »


The Impact of Team Win’s on Saves

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Tanner Scott signed with the Dodgers earlier this week and you may be wondering, does that make him a top 10 closer going into the 2025 season? Certainly, it must change his pre-trade auction calculator (Steamer) ranking of 14th, right? Roster Resource lists Scott as the Dodger closer for now, but Michael Kopech, Blake Treinen, and maybe even Evan Phillips may cut in on his save counts. And what if the Dodgers score so many runs with their high-powered offense that Scott doesn’t get the opportunity to earn a save often enough? Does being on a really good team limit a team’s save accumulation? Read the rest of this entry »


The HardHit% Age Curve

Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Many indicators are pointing to Adolis García’s power declining. If so, his fantasy value may be careening down a cliff. Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu: Lucas’ Keep or Cut Decisions at SP Part I

Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Do they have offerings for left-handed hitters and right-handed hitters? Do they throw their best pitches for strikes? What’s the Stuff+ measurements on those “best” pitches? Do they throw with high velocity? Do they have a good fastball? Do they elevate that fastball? How long are their arms, how long are their legs, how big are their fingers? Are their mechanics efficient? Repeatable? Normal? When did they last feel a tinge in their forearms? Have they ever been demoted to AAA? These are all good questions to ask when analyzing pitchers. Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu: Lucas’ Keep or Cut Decisions at OF Part II

All around American neighborhoods lights are being taken down, candles put away, and trees placed out on curbs. Winter holidays are coming to a close and, dare I write it, playoff football is about to begin. But you are here because you have an Ottonue team to manage. Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu: Lucas’ Keep or Cut Decisions at OF Part I

It can’t all be cut, cut, cut. You need to roster at least five outfielders in this game and once the season gets going, it can be challenging to find good ones to fill the gaps. Trust me, the gaps will appear. Sure, you can pick up an outfielder from auction anytime you need one, but will they perform anywhere near my calculated 4.14 replacement level points per game (P/G) mark for the position? Probably not. Go ahead, give it a shot. Go to the players page in your Ottoneu points league and see how many free agents who played in at least 20 games last season with a P/G mark higher than 4.14 are available. That makes it all the more important to make good keep/cut decisions. So let’s go. Read the rest of this entry »


Peaks and Valleys: A Tale of Two wOBA Graphs

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The year was 2023, the MLB season was ending, and Elehuris Montero was on a tear Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu: Lucas’ Keep or Cut Decisions at MI

The points per game (P/G) mark drops when it hits the middle infield position. In fact, players lined up at second and short hold the lowest P/G replacement level marks among defensive positions. Even Catchers do better. It’s hard to find power-hitting middle infielders and easy to find quick, speedy base-stealing ones. Analyzed below are three who emanate young potential and one who pulsates nostalgia. Each of them bring their own challenges to the keep/cut decision-making process. Read the rest of this entry »