The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1514 – Regress to What?

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June 12, 2026

6/11/26

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REGRESS TO WHAT? ANALYZING SPs ON FIRE

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Approximately 69 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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JacobMember since 2025
1 month ago

I picked up Ben Brown in a bunch of leagues based on pedigree and chasing some wins. After listening to this episode, I was ready to explore moving him, but I decided to dig into his Savant page first and I think you should give him another look…

Savant shows distinct pitch mixes using three pitches for both sides of the plate. Sinker/Curve/Four-Seam for right and Four-Seam/Curve/Change for left. I get you want to combine the fast balls vs. righties, but he’s mostly throwing sinkers (41% vs R) and using the four-seamer to change the batter’s eye level for putaways (+6% putaway% compared to vs. lefties where the four-seamer is his primary offering). Sequencing a four-seamer also serves to better setup the curve for the putaway vs. R and keep batters off-balance.

IMO – there is a plan (and it is getting results), so now I’m ready to buy him in the leagues I don’t already have him. Thanks for discussing him and getting me to look into him a little deeper!

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Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
1 month ago
Reply to  Jacob

Love it. I’m a huge fan of Brown so I want the 2 heaters to be enough to keep hitters guessing. He’s so good that the upside is super rich!

1